How many Biden-nominated judges will be confirmed by 2025?

[Skill and Chance]

Trump got 234 with 4 years of continuous senate control and Biden is significantly outpacing him so far.  However, Trump did get to fill a bunch held over from the last 2 years of Obama's presidency, which Biden didn't get to do.  I'll guess 250 or 260.

[Skill and Chance]

Without the House, there's no reason why Biden and Schumer shouldn't be doing exactly what Trump and McConnell did, except faster.

This. A better question would be how many of these confirmations will go through before Harris gets the opportunity to break John C. Calhoun's record for tie-breaking votes.

She only needs 6 more to break it.  Assuming a 51D/49R senate, surely Manchin would like to have some votes against Dem judges to talk about in 2024, right?

[Skill and Chance]

Depends whether Manchin and Sinema are running for reelection, and what their calculations are in terms of winning reelection. (For Manchin, he basically has to become a partisan Republican to have a chance, while Sinema really doesn't have a chance that I can see.)

Sinema is way too socially liberal to worry about her blocking Dem federal court nominees.  Even if she caucused as a Republican, she would be as easy a vote to get as Murkowski.