2024 swing states

[Joe Boden]

What states will be swing states next time around

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX, FL Beto, Julian Castro, DEMINGS or Graham

OH, WVA and MT

All NY Rs that def Ds

Evers won in WI and Baldwin won by 10 in 2018 she isn't going down easily

Since Vance won he won't face Brown, Brown already defeated Mandel

Who's running against Tester Rs only beat Bullock with Daines they don't have another Daines

[GALeftist]

Probably the same ones as last time with the possible exception of Florida depending on how you defined it before. Maybe Texas.

[Mycool]

there are some categories

Rust belt: WI, PA, MI

Sun belt: AZ and NV

Edge of competitiveness: NC, MN, TX, AK

Not competitive: FL, NM, CO, IA, OH

Really a mixed bag for the parties but FL is a stand out in how swiftly it’s moved right. I would bet it votes to the right of TX in 2024.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

there are some categories

Rust belt: WI, PA, MI

Sun belt: AZ and NV

Edge of competitiveness: NC, MN, TX, AK

Not competitive: FL, NM, CO, IA, OH

Really a mixed bag for the parties but FL is a stand out in how swiftly it’s moved right. I would bet it votes to the right of TX in 2024.

Mandel already lost to Brown in 2012, since Vance won Mandel is the only one left

DEMINGS can beat non Latino Rick Scott if she wants it what else is she gonna do and Beto can run against Cruz again if nobody wants to run

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Trump or DeSantis can win OH by 3 and Brown survives the trick isn't winning OH it's to get the top of the ticket down to 5 since Nan W failed to damage DeWine Ryan lost, DeWine had to underpoll in order for Ryan to win, Biden on the ballot doesn't have to win OH but not lose like Nan W did split vote

[GALeftist]

there are some categories

Rust belt: WI, PA, MI

Sun belt: AZ and NV

Edge of competitiveness: NC, MN, TX, AK

Not competitive: FL, NM, CO, IA, OH

Really a mixed bag for the parties but FL is a stand out in how swiftly it’s moved right. I would bet it votes to the right of TX in 2024.

No Georgia?

[coloradocowboi]

there are some categories

Really a mixed bag for the parties but FL is a stand out in how swiftly it’s moved right. I would bet it votes to the right of TX in 2024.

It makes a lot of sense. Old people, in particular conservative and/or wealthy old people, move there en masse. It will definitely vote to the right of TX in 24. It almost voted to the right of SC last night lol. This also makes me really second guess DeSantis' appeal to a broader electorate. I dk that he would've out-performed Greg Abbott in Texas and I am almost certain he would've underperformed Kemp in Georgia. I suspect his LGBTQ politics will be toxic in Midwest/Western states and definitely complicating things for all the new upstate NY Repubs, not to mention the damage his immigration politics will do to the inroads that Repubs are making w/ Mexican Americans.

Also, I just want to call it now. It is Colorado, not Virginia, that is the inverse Florida. The GOP is toast there because of young, Mexican, and educated voters. CO 8 will be impossible to hold long term. CO 5 should be competitive as soon as next election. It's kinda miraculous but it's done. And I wonder if this bodes well for a certain "socially liberal, fiscally conservative" first gay governor in America, who would also like to be our first gay president?

[MATTROSE94]

there are some categories

Rust belt: WI, PA, MI

Sun belt: AZ and NV

Edge of competitiveness: NC, MN, TX, AK

Not competitive: FL, NM, CO, IA, OH

Really a mixed bag for the parties but FL is a stand out in how swiftly it’s moved right. I would bet it votes to the right of TX in 2024.

No Georgia?

Georgia will probably vote for the Democrats by a Virginia 2012 margin in 2024.

[Bismarck]

PA, GA, WI, MI, NV, AZ.

[Heisenberg]

PA, GA, WI, MI, NV, AZ.

No NV or NC?

[Bismarck]

PA, GA, WI, MI, NV, AZ.

No NV or NC?

I said NV. I think NC will be one tier down, along with New Hampshire.

[Ferguson97]

PA, MI, WI, AZ, GA, NC.

FL/OH/IA are completely gone for the Democrats.
NV/NH are gone for the Republicans at the federal level.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

PA, MI, WI, AZ, GA, NC.

FL/OH/IA are completely gone for the Democrats.
NV/NH are gone for the Republicans at the federal level.

Agree with everything except NV.

[Mycool]

there are some categories

Rust belt: WI, PA, MI

Sun belt: AZ and NV

Edge of competitiveness: NC, MN, TX, AK

Not competitive: FL, NM, CO, IA, OH

Really a mixed bag for the parties but FL is a stand out in how swiftly it’s moved right. I would bet it votes to the right of TX in 2024.

No Georgia?

An oversight! I think GA may be the new NV, a state with a stubborn Democratic tilt for federal elections and a stubborn Republican lean on the state level.