2008: Clinton/Richardson (D) vs. McCain/Owens (R) vs. Independents

[Tender Branson]

Primaries 2008: Hillary Clinton wins the primary in Iowa with 34% of the vote, while Senator Obama comes in 2nd with 27% and Senator John Edwards with 25%. Clinton goes on to win NH by a comfortable margin and the following primaries on Feb. 5. She then decides to pick Governor Bill Richardson as her running mate.

Meanwhile on the Republican side Rudy Giuliani decides in July 2007 that he will run as an Independent. Following that and the decision by Newt Gingrich not to seek the presidency, John McCain, the Senator from Arizona, wins Iowa by a comfortable margin, but barely survives a bitter fought NH primary, where the once beliefed "dead" (Keyword: "Mormon") Mitt Romney comes within 1% of McCain. McCain later wins several primaries in the West as well as in the South, guaranteeing him the GOP nomination. He chooses former Colorado Governor Bill Owens as his running mate.

Also deciding to run as an Independents: Michael Bloomberg of New York, Chuck Hagel of Nebraska and Ralph Nader.

Ok, that´s it.

Maps ? Thoughts ?

[DownWithTheLeft]

McCain/Owens (blue) 274
Clinton/Richardson (red) 72
Guiliani/Nelson (green) 150
Bloomberg/Ventura (light red) 24
Hagel/Paul (light blue) 17
Nader/LaMarche 0

I think Bloomberg and Guiliani hurt Clinton more than McCain.  I think a pro-war Hagel would do great in the South, but not the pansie Hagel.

McCain wins

[CPT MikeyMike]

Too many third parties for a candidate to win outright.

Goes to the House.

[CultureKing]

This is my first time posting a map, so... (somthing just might go wrong):






In this scenario:
McCain/Owens (blue) 147    23% of National vote
Clinton/Richardson (red) 229    29% of National vote
Guiliani/Nelson (light red) 102    22% of National vote
Bloomberg/Ventura 0      4% of National vote
Hagel/Paul (light blue) 61    19% of National vote
Nader/LaMarche 0    3% of National vote

Out of the independents Nader of course is the weakest while Bloomberg runs a campaign that fails to gain much traction and he only gets around 3-4% nationally, McCain is able to win many Republican states and the south though Hagel takes many of the plains states, and Guiliani takes some of the midwest and pulls in Florida. Clinton is able to keep many red states and expand into Arkansas and Louisiana because of the spitting of the votes.

[CultureKing]

This is my first time posting a map, so... (somthing just might go wrong):






In this scenario:
McCain/Owens (blue) 147    23% of National vote
Clinton/Richardson (red) 229    29% of National vote
Guiliani/Nelson (light red) 102    22% of National vote
Bloomberg/Ventura 0      4% of National vote
Hagel/Paul (light blue) 61    19% of National vote
Nader/LaMarche 0    3% of National vote

Out of the independents Nader of course is the weakest while Bloomberg runs a campaign that fails to gain much traction and he only gets around 3-4% nationally, McCain is able to win many Republican states and the south though Hagel takes many of the plains states, and Guiliani takes some of the midwest and pulls in Florida. Clinton is able to keep many red states and expand into Arkansas and Louisiana because of the spitting of the votes.

oh and the house votes Clinton into office

[adam]

Guiliani/Chafee (Pink) - 24%
Hagel/Paul (Light Blue) - 24%
Clinton/Richardson (Red) - 22%
McCain/Owens (Blue) - 22%
Bloomberg/Ventura - 7%
Nader/LaMarche - 1%