AZ Sen - Data for Progress - Masters +1

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/DataProgress/status/1589760227003748352?t=6Tqc0GHIZZXslJwDHc...

[Senator Incitatus]

Their last 2020 poll of Arizona was Biden 50-47, which was quite good given a final result of 49.4-49.1. Arizona polling shouldn’t have an exceptional error in general. Expecting a very narrow result, with Masters winning if you pushed me.

[Person Man]

So basically the only poll that has Masters up was released literally within hours of the polls opening?

[AncestralDemocrat.]

So basically the only poll that has Masters up was released literally within hours of the polls opening?

Emerson had Masters up 1.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Given their WI number it's a bad poll Johnson isn't up 5 they just copied their last poll that had Johnson plus 5 at the end of October

[SnowLabrador]

I think Masters wins by 1-2 points.

[Alben Barkley]

D4P seems bizarrely R-leaning this cycle. I have a feeling they are overcorrecting.

[xavier110]

This poll makes more sense than a lot of others, in terms of how Kelly won’t outrun Hobbs by much, if at all. However, I don’t picture Masters clearing 50, even if he wins. If he does, it’s a GOP sweep for sure.

[citizenZ]

Masters is surging right at the end, but the question will be is it enough?

[Person Man]

So basically the only poll that has Masters up was released literally within hours of the polls opening?

Emerson had Masters up 1.

That wasn’t their top number.

[wbrocks67]

The sample here is pretty GOP-heavy again, but with that being said, it'll come down to Independents. Most nonpartisan polls have had Kelly/Hobbs up a healthy lead with Independents, this has them tied. We'll see how that shakes out

(Masters having a better fav score here than Kelly seems... questionable)

[Aurelius]

It's happening.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

They overcorrected. They have Kelly winning independents and winning Ds more than Masters is losing Rs, yet he is still losing.