Ohio Sen - Data for Progress - Vance +10

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1589753373112557568?t=_XZF0GWTxZroPZCcS1i...

[Woody]

If those Ohio numbers are true, this is good news for Oz in Pennsylvania too.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds LEAD EV 44/39 in OH and 37/34 in WI we're gonna win OH and WI Sen

Vance isn't winning by 10

[Eraserhead]

If those Ohio numbers are true, this is good news for Oz in Pennsylvania too.

Pennsylvania is not Ohio.

[Senator Incitatus]

If those Ohio numbers are true, this is good news for Oz in Pennsylvania too.

Pennsylvania is not Ohio.

2020 proved this, although probably attributable to fundamentally different voting procedures. Not sure that’s changed.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If those Ohio numbers are true, this is good news for Oz in Pennsylvania too.

EV IN PA IS GOING 70/30 TO FETTERMAN OVER OZ IN MARIST POLL, SORRY

[MT Treasurer]

If those Ohio numbers are true, this is good news for Oz in Pennsylvania too.

If there is one Senate race that defies the environment and national trend toward a big Republican night purely because of the odiousness of the Republican nominee, it will probably be PA, so I’d be careful about drawing that conclusion.

This kind of math works better at the presidential level.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I haven't bumped too many polling threads to gloat like this but can we take a moment to acknowledge that Republicans were actually overestimated in Ohio this year! Trafalgar demonstrated the same thing with their last poll of this race. Sure, it doesn't mean this still safe R state is more winnable for Democrats but it's a pretty big disruption of the narrative that Ohio polling always underestimates Republicans. Granted, maybe it was just because Vance wasn't the best candidate. But then again we also had Democrats do way better than expected in the competitive House races.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I haven't bumped too many polling threads to gloat like this but can we take a moment to acknowledge that Republicans were actually overestimated in Ohio this year! Trafalgar demonstrated the same thing with their last poll of this race. Sure, it doesn't mean this still safe R state is more winnable for Democrats but it's a pretty big disruption of the narrative that Ohio polling always underestimates Republicans. Granted, maybe it was just because Vance wasn't the best candidate. But then again we also had Democrats do way better than expected in the competitive House races.

Lol Sherrod Brown won 3* in a row this was completetive but DeWine had no scandal like DeSantis but unlike DeWine, DeSantis is running for Prez and like all Rs their tax cuts for the rich is unpopular, but it's popular in FL due to no state income tax

Vance clearly won on the back of DeWine 60/40 blowout, DeWine isn't on the ballot Trump or DeSantis and Biden are in 24 Brown will win