NV SEN D4P Laxalt +2
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Author Topic: NV SEN D4P Laxalt +2  (Read 435 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« on: November 07, 2022, 05:49:22 PM »

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1589745898447261696?s=20&t=Xp753qgM9-ofF_xt91NaoA
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2022, 05:55:20 PM »

Lean R.
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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United States


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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2022, 06:01:58 PM »

So CCM +7 then?
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Aurelius
Cody
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2022, 06:19:45 PM »

This one is gonna be a nailbiter. I think Laxalt wins by less than a point. (I think Lombardo wins by 5. He's a MUCH better candidate.)
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2022, 06:38:39 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2022, 06:42:35 PM by MT Treasurer »

I know this is apparently bold but I’ll reiterate this — this race won’t be even close to a 50-50 nailbiter on a good night for Republicans. If it’s this close or going down to the wire, Republicans are going to have a very bad night across the board, and we’re indeed looking at a very atypical midterm. Laxalt is not the weak candidate people have made him out to be, and he’s perfectly capable of performing at Generic R/(roughly) Lombardo levels.  

Strongly suspect that this cycle will mark the end of the "NV polling always favors Republicans" conventional wisdom. At this point, I’m not sure if there’s a single state outside the PNW where I could confidently say that polls aren’t underestimating Republican strength. If (and it is a big if) Republicans have managed to make additional/significant inroads with white/non-white working-class voters, polling will probably become even more unreliable than it already is.
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