ME: Survey USA: Gov. Mills (D) +6
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  ME: Survey USA: Gov. Mills (D) +6
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Author Topic: ME: Survey USA: Gov. Mills (D) +6  (Read 725 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: November 04, 2022, 08:47:54 AM »

New Poll: Maine Governor by Survey USA on 2022-11-02

Summary: D: 49%, R: 43%, I: 4%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Duke of York
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2022, 09:53:23 AM »

I think Mills is heavily favored here. LePage only won because of vote splitting.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2022, 01:35:49 AM »

I think Mills is heavily favored here. LePage only won because of vote splitting.

He got 49% the second time.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2022, 01:46:23 AM »

I think Mills is heavily favored here. LePage only won because of vote splitting.

He got 49% the second time.
As an incumbent.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2022, 10:17:04 AM »


So?

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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2022, 02:58:20 PM »

Incumbency can matter in this kind of thing, no? It aided him in 2014, it will very likely aid Mills this time around. If he defeats her, it will likely be despite his status as a challenger.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2022, 03:07:24 PM »

Lean/Likely Democratic. LePage isn't going to reclaim power.

Poll lines up with my prediction, which is around a 51-45% victory for Mills.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2022, 03:39:49 PM »

Incumbency can matter in this kind of thing, no? It aided him in 2014, it will very likely aid Mills this time around. If he defeats her, it will likely be despite his status as a challenger.

Perhaps. I tend to discount incumbency these days, but it probably matters more in gubernatorial races. So point taken.
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