ME: Survey USA: Gov. Mills (D) +6

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think Mills is heavily favored here. LePage only won because of vote splitting.

He got 49% the second time.

As an incumbent.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think Mills is heavily favored here. LePage only won because of vote splitting.

He got 49% the second time.

As an incumbent.

So?

Incumbency can matter in this kind of thing, no? It aided him in 2014, it will very likely aid Mills this time around. If he defeats her, it will likely be despite his status as a challenger.