OR: Nelson Research: Drazan still leads, Johnson collapsing

[RI]

https://twitter.com/JMShumway/status/1587929546523017216

[GeorgiaModerate]

As is almost always the case, a lot of third-party support dissipates when people get around to actually voting. 

Extreme example: I recall a national poll in September(?) 1980 that had John Anderson leading both Reagan and Carter.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Where is the link to this poll

[RI]

Found the press release they put out: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221102_OR_NelsonMemo.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's only MOE

[Orwell]

As is almost always the case, a lot of third-party support dissipates when people get around to actually voting. 

Extreme example: I recall a national poll in September(?) 1980 that had John Anderson leading both Reagan and Carter.

Not sure if this is actually the case, but I have definitely seen references in polling and literature about the election of Anderson polling around 10-15% percent similar to Perot's real numbers in 1992.

[GeorgiaModerate]

As is almost always the case, a lot of third-party support dissipates when people get around to actually voting. 

Extreme example: I recall a national poll in September(?) 1980 that had John Anderson leading both Reagan and Carter.

Not sure if this is actually the case, but I have definitely seen references in polling and literature about the election of Anderson polling around 10-15% percent similar to Perot's real numbers in 1992.

Unfortunately, there doesn't seem to be a good database of polls from that far back.  The highest reference I can find in news articles is to a Gallup poll in June with Anderson at 26% (it didn't say what Reagan and Carter were at), so it was earlier and not quite as high as I recalled.  But there was definitely a vibe that summer that Anderson was in the running.  Remember that it was only 12 years after George Wallace's significant third-party run, and Anderson was polling better than Wallace had, although Anderson's support faded much more in the end.