Iowa Sen - Cygnal - Grassley +11
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: October 31, 2022, 10:46:37 AM »
« edited: October 31, 2022, 10:47:20 AM by GeorgiaModerate »

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2022, 10:50:15 AM »
It seems like he's only going to win by single digits. Will Selzer do a final poll here?
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Gracile
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2022, 10:52:51 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 31, 2022, 10:50:15 AM
It seems like he's only going to win by single digits. Will Selzer do a final poll here?

Yes, she typically conducts a final poll the week before the election and releases it the weekend before election day.
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ListMan38
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2022, 10:57:25 AM »
In a D-leaning Generic Year, Grassley would be done, though this year having an R lean will keep him through.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2022, 10:58:56 AM »
What was the generic ballot vote in 2020?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2022, 11:05:18 AM »
It was Trump +9
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Orwell
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2022, 11:07:29 AM »
Quote from: ListMan38 on October 31, 2022, 10:57:25 AM
In a D-leaning Generic Year, Grassley would be done, though this year having an R lean will keep him through.

Like... maybe? Iowa is well known for being inelastic and Grassley has universal name recognition against basically a nobody. People said Ernst and Reynolds would lose in 2020 and 2018 and both won pretty comfortably
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2022, 11:08:25 AM »
Quote from: ListMan38 on October 31, 2022, 10:57:25 AM
In a D-leaning Generic Year, Grassley would be done, though this year having an R lean will keep him through.

Its not an R leaning year its a Neutral yr and we lost 8 House seats in a Neutral year in 2020, obviously if its a neutral year we win WI, PA, GA, NV, AZ and NH Senate races Grassley and Reynolds are gonna win by 9
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