GA-SEN (AJC): Walker +0.3 (user search)
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  GA-SEN (AJC): Walker +0.3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-SEN (AJC): Walker +0.3  (Read 766 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: October 31, 2022, 11:41:12 AM »

Curiously, this one has Victor at 5% and NYT/Siena has him at 1%. Third parties seem to do relatively well in GA, so I'd expect like 2-3% in the end, but we'll see.

Victor is running in Arizona.  The Libertarian candidate in GA-SEN is Chase Oliver. Smiley  I agree 2-3% for him is likely, perhaps even a bit higher.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2022, 11:42:12 AM »

I will also note that there are not that many Kemp-Warnock voters in this poll. Warnock is only running 1% ahead of Abrams here, while Kemp is running 6% ahead of Walker. It seems that Kemp is winning the undecideds and most of the third-party voters in the Senate race. The number of Kemp-Warnock voters seems to have been overestimated. Just as in Arizona, split-ticket voting will be minimal.

Details from the AJC article:

Quote
The poll, conducted by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs, indicates that about 6% of Kemp supporters say they’re voting for Warnock and an additional 5% back Oliver.
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