GA: NYT / Siena: Sen. Warnock (D) +3
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  GA: NYT / Siena: Sen. Warnock (D) +3
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Author Topic: GA: NYT / Siena: Sen. Warnock (D) +3  (Read 909 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 31, 2022, 03:19:17 AM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by NYT / Siena on 2022-10-27

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2022, 04:13:50 AM »

Good we have the Senate 51/49
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2022, 08:08:05 AM »

It's amazing what happens when you don't have the Republican getting 25% of the black vote in a state where they normally don't get more than ~10%
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2022, 08:08:55 AM »

I can see this being the case but to me Warnock needs 50%. Cause without complete control of congress on the line… I can’t see Dems being motivated to get out for a runoff
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Horus
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2022, 08:31:49 AM »

Still too close for comfort.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2022, 09:51:43 AM »


Yup, but Warnock is ahead in most polls and 2020 actually underestimate D-support in GA. At this point, I think he's more likely to win than CCM.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2022, 10:45:13 AM »

Not bad. Probably heading towards a runoff though either way.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2022, 11:22:48 AM »

I can see this being the case but to me Warnock needs 50%. Cause without complete control of congress on the line… I can’t see Dems being motivated to get out for a runoff
Disagree, y’all have the higher propensity base.
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Yoda
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2022, 02:45:05 PM »

It's becoming increasingly obvious that there was an avalanche of right-wing polls showing republican leads and gains across the board in order to drive a narrative. Good pollsters are showing static races or slightly smaller dem leads than we were seeing a few weeks ago.
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Woody
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2022, 02:51:24 PM »

It's becoming increasingly obvious that there was an avalanche of right-wing polls showing republican leads and gains across the board in order to drive a narrative. Good pollsters are showing static races or slightly smaller dem leads than we were seeing a few weeks ago.
Siena/NYT:

PA 2020: Biden 49 - 43
IA 2020: Biden 46 - 43
NC 2020: Biden 48 - 45
AZ 2020 Biden 49 - 43
FL 2020 Biden 47 - 44
WI 2020 Biden 52 - 41
MI 2020 Biden 49 - 41
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2022, 08:58:03 PM »

I needed a break from following these races because it just got too stressful.

I hope this ends up being right.

I have not the slightest idea if it will be. Not predicting it in my current map just because I was feeling down emotionally when I made it. Honestly I feel like flipping coins or throwing darts at a dartboard is likely going to be as accurate as trying to discern what is going on from increasingly few polls that are more dominated by amateur and/or partisan pollsters every year.

I just want this all to end.
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