PA SEN COEFFICIENT Dr Oz +3

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1586066710511042560?s=20&t=DDNLQXyp2DWOu37NCgrcQg

Still close

[kwabbit]

Result would be much better for Oz if Coefficient wasn't ridiculously variable. Three straight polls having him ahead I think, although all were of dubious quality.

[Sestak]

The poll that had Zeldin ahead, Hassan and Bolduc tied, and Smiley within 3 can only find Oz +3? Lol.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know the Doomers blamed Barnes for trailing Johnson,  Fetterman is 3 pts behind still MOE like Barnes is, what do they say now

[free my dawg]

This is a shill firm. Anyone with a set of eyes can tell that NH-Sen isn't tied, let alone a carpetbagger being up in NH-2.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Was this the pollster that had Bennet up by like 15 pts? Or am I getting my pollsters confused?

[Person Man]

Was this the pollster that had Bennet up by like 15 pts? Or am I getting my pollsters confused?

16 and Murray up by 3.

[Eraserhead]

Not bad at all considering the source.

Hopefully we get some non-partisan post-debate polls over the next few days.

[kwabbit]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

[Calthrina950]

The ball is in Dr. Oz's court. This is now the second post-debate poll to show him leading.

[Ljube]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

Who exactly are good pollsters?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

Who exactly are good pollsters?

Is that octopus who picked World Cup matches still going? He seemed pretty decent. 

[kwabbit]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

Who exactly are good pollsters?

"good pollsters" are Fox, YouGov, Suffolk, Monmouth, Muhlenberg, Fabrizio/Impact, Emerson, Marist. I imagine post of them will come out with a PA poll in the final few days. An Oz lead in of these would cause a huge meltdown. As of now only right wing pollsters have had Oz ahead.

Hopefully NYT too but they're cowards.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Ds lose this race the heads should roll at DNCC since Lamb should of replaced Fetterman

I remember even with the stroke Wasserman Schultz said Fetterman was the best candidate and he clearly wasn't

[Sestak]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

Who exactly are good pollsters?

"good pollsters" are Fox, YouGov, Suffolk, Monmouth, Muhlenberg, Fabrizio/Impact, Emerson, Marist. I imagine post of them will come out with a PA poll in the final few days. An Oz lead in of these would cause a huge meltdown. As of now only right wing pollsters have had Oz ahead.

Hopefully NYT too but they're cowards.

I think my list is even stricter than yours. Monmouth is off because they’re too afraid to commit to top lines; Marist is off because their recent record has been even worse than most vaguely D-leaning polls plus they’ve been very infrequent this cycle. And Fab/Imp is an untested partnership between two…fairly mediocre pollsters; I wouldn’t give them much credence until they actually have a track record.

[kwabbit]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

Who exactly are good pollsters?

"good pollsters" are Fox, YouGov, Suffolk, Monmouth, Muhlenberg, Fabrizio/Impact, Emerson, Marist. I imagine post of them will come out with a PA poll in the final few days. An Oz lead in of these would cause a huge meltdown. As of now only right wing pollsters have had Oz ahead.

Hopefully NYT too but they're cowards.

I think my list is even stricter than yours. Monmouth is off because they’re too afraid to commit to top lines; Marist is off because their recent record has been even worse than most vaguely D-leaning polls plus they’ve been very infrequent this cycle. And Fab/Imp is an untested partnership between two…fairly mediocre pollsters; I wouldn’t give them much credence until they actually have a track record.

Monmouth is good for showing a trend, but yeah the no top lines is very annoying. Marist is predictably biased, like once you account for the bias they are precise.

[Calthrina950]

We're probably only gonna get weird pollsters until the final few days. Most good pollsters are gonna get in the field this week and release in the final weekend/Monday.

Who exactly are good pollsters?

"good pollsters" are Fox, YouGov, Suffolk, Monmouth, Muhlenberg, Fabrizio/Impact, Emerson, Marist. I imagine post of them will come out with a PA poll in the final few days. An Oz lead in of these would cause a huge meltdown. As of now only right wing pollsters have had Oz ahead.

Hopefully NYT too but they're cowards.

I think my list is even stricter than yours. Monmouth is off because they’re too afraid to commit to top lines; Marist is off because their recent record has been even worse than most vaguely D-leaning polls plus they’ve been very infrequent this cycle. And Fab/Imp is an untested partnership between two…fairly mediocre pollsters; I wouldn’t give them much credence until they actually have a track record.

Emerson is probably the best pollster on that list.

[Eraserhead]

If Ds lose this race the heads should roll at DNCC since Lamb should of replaced Fetterman

I remember even with the stroke Wasserman Schultz said Fetterman was the best candidate and he clearly wasn't

There was a primary to decide the candidate. Lamb lost. It wasn't even remotely close.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Ds lose this race the heads should roll at DNCC since Lamb should of replaced Fetterman

I remember even with the stroke Wasserman Schultz said Fetterman was the best candidate and he clearly wasn't

There was a primary to decide the candidate. Lamb lost. It wasn't even remotely close.

Yeah Fetterman had the stroke right before the primary I said I am optimistic but I am a realistic too our Predictions are phony anyways

If Fetterman had a stroke a month before Lamb was catching up, Keynatta split the anti Fetterman vote

I will compare it Edwards fiasco and it was a Fiasco, Bob Shrum wanted Edwards and Kerry wanted Gephardt and Kerry lost because Edwards lost the debate to Cheney on foreign policy, Gephardt had plenty of knowledge on Natl security, Bush W lost every debate to Bush W but the Veep debate was horrible for Edwards

Kerry would of won OH, NM, IA and NV with Gephardt , even Fox news said Gephardt should of been Veep

[wbrocks67]

It's almost.... eerie how similar the crosstabs are for this to the IA poll. The two nearly tied among whites (both have Oz up by like 2), Oz with like 25-30% of the black vote, and Oz having an insane lead among Hispanics

[Lief 🗽]

Second to last Friday before the election and today's polls are all from either Wick, Coefficient, or Center Street. Grim.

[Dani Rose]

Second to last Friday before the election and today's polls are all from either Wick, Coefficient, or Center Street. Grim.

I just want one serious polling firm to do this race one single time before E-Day. Fox, NYT, Trafalgar, anyone.

[SnowLabrador]

Lean R. Oz wins by 3-5 points.