NH: co/efficient: Senate race now tied
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  NH: co/efficient: Senate race now tied
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Author Topic: NH: co/efficient: Senate race now tied  (Read 824 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 28, 2022, 01:21:31 AM »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by co/efficient on 2022-10-26

Summary: D: 45%, R: 45%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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MAGA Maggie's Masshole Mob
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2022, 02:22:19 AM »

lol, lmao
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Senator theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2022, 03:52:46 AM »

lol k
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Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2022, 03:54:47 AM »

Co/Efficient: the pollster that makes trafalgar and Wick Polling look consistent
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2022, 04:34:37 AM »

CO EFFICIENT yeah the same pollster has Zeldin winning the NY GOV race Ignore them like Trafalgar that has Walz losing
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Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2022, 04:36:26 AM »

CO EFFICIENT yeah the same pollster has Zeldin winning the NY GOV race Ignore them like Trafalgar that has Walz losing
If I recall correctly, they had some other polls that even were quite D favorable too. Then you had polls like this...
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Hollywood
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2022, 05:01:03 AM »

General Bolduc has run as good a campaign as any non-incumbant Republican could hope for in NH while Maggie Hassan refuses to hold any public campaign events.  She doesn't even have a ground game.  Bolduc has good turnouts at every event, as well as volunteers waving signs in a bunch of towns, Bolduc also looked much better than Hassan in yesterdays debate.  Hassan came off extremely snobbish and uncaring.  She took a sh$$$y tone with everyone. 

Bolduc looks like he might pull out an upset in this race. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2022, 07:08:30 AM »

CO EFFICIENT yeah the same pollster has Zeldin winning the NY GOV race Ignore them like Trafalgar that has Walz losing
If I recall correctly, they had some other polls that even were quite D favorable too. Then you had polls like this...

Just the Colorado poll I think.
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2022, 08:39:11 AM »

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Vosem
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2022, 10:58:10 AM »

I mean, props to these guys for not herding and publishing what are clearly their actual results. If Bolduc and Zeldin do better than Masters, they'll be the new gold standard.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2022, 12:00:42 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2022, 12:11:57 PM by MT Treasurer »

This race being very close isnt surprising Bolduc has been really aggressive in prosecuting the case against Hassan, who remains exceptionally unpopular for a New England incumbent and is probably the most robotic/scripted Democratic incumbent in Washington (this is a problem when youre running against a challenger who has branded himself as the outsider in a year which benefits his party). Hes also (largely) managed to stay on message and has done a pretty good job of painting Hassan as a career politician and out-of-touch hack.

In a very R-friendly environment, this is about where Id expect this to end up. Good chance this will be the closest Senate race of the cycle again.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2022, 12:31:17 PM »

It's not tied Hassan is gonna win 51/48
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Senator Incitatus
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2022, 05:44:47 PM »

General Bolduc has run as good a campaign as any non-incumbant Republican could hope for in NH ...

Strongly disagree with this. Bolduc has run a poor campaign but is a solid candidate on paper running against a weak incumbent in a favorable environment. If he wins it will be a bailout and he should give big thanks to Biden, Hassan, and Sununu.

Still keeping this race at Lean D.
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2022, 06:07:16 PM »

We're apparently in a world where the following are all simultaneously true:

WA: D+3
CO: D+16
NH: D+0
PA: R+3
AZ: D+2
GA: R+3

I knew CO was trending D, but if we're looking at a neutral year (which I guess PA and GA imply), AZ trended pretty hard D and CO decided to just drop right off the map. Based on the WA results, I'm thinking all of the Biden counties (save King county) fell into the ocean.

This is definitely a new take compared to Trafalgar's "every race is competitive" methodology.
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