Sestak
jk2020
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Posts: 13,281
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« on: November 01, 2022, 08:15:01 PM » |
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Honestly, that 2008 prediction is...quite startling in terms of how bad it is. Almost as bad as 2016 in terms of states missed; which is pretty remarkable. NC safer than Washington...really?
Outside of those two years, is KY-Gov 2019 really the only confidence miss? (Grumbles at certain posters)
Admittedly, the above is also seemingly a result of Atlas being much more cautious and labeling more races as tossup. This is probably a smart choice given how bad polling has become but it does make the "only misses are tossups" results a little bit less meaningful.
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