Hollywood
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,728
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« on: October 26, 2022, 08:22:37 PM » |
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Any SurveyUSA Poll with Lucid Holding Data is garbage. The Early and In-Person Vote Statistics in NC are clearly better than expected for Republicans. Democrats held a much larger advantages in 2020 and 2018. In NC-13, only 6% of people voted on 10/21/22, and only 8% of people cast a ballot via VBM/Early In-Person by the 23rd. Yet, Survey USA has double (12%) early votes, and 10% additional VBM voters. It favors Democrats even though Republican vote share is improving with Early In-person.
According to the poll, only 75% of Republicans support the Budd. A lot of undecided Republicans and Conservatives. Even Independents that lean Republican remain undecided even though they clearly favor Republicans in the GCB. There are more Biden than Trump Voters (48-42%), 20% of People that care about inflation are still undecided.
When I adjust the numbers to reflect reality, Republicans easily win NC-13.
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