GA-SEN (Monmouth): Warnock +5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 11:37:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2022 Senate & House Election Polls
  GA-SEN (Monmouth): Warnock +5
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: GA-SEN (Monmouth): Warnock +5  (Read 605 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 26, 2022, 10:01:54 AM »
« edited: October 26, 2022, 10:05:08 AM by wbrocks67 »

Warnock = 49% total (including 39% definitely and 10% probably)
Walker = 44% total (including 33% definitely and 11% probably)

Warnock fav: 51/43 (+8)
Walker fav: 43/52 (-9)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_ga_102622/

It was 45-41 in September
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2022, 10:18:38 AM »

Monmouth is a bad pollster, but I’ve seen little evidence that Walker can actually avoid a runoff here, which is all that matters, really (and I say this as someone who expects a much better night for Republicans than is currently indicated by most polling). Unless polls are dramatically underestimating R gains with non-white voters (which is Walker's only hope), this is probably over and even NH may flip before GA at this point.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2022, 10:26:09 AM »

Monmouth is a bad pollster, but I’ve seen little evidence that Walker can actually avoid a runoff here, which is all that matters, really (and I say this as someone who expects a much better night for Republicans than is currently indicated by most polling). Unless polls are dramatically underestimating R gains with non-white voters (which is Walker's only hope), this is probably over and even NH may flip before GA at this point.

Granted that these aren't direct H2H results, but it's quite interesting that they've found pretty favorable results for Dems in the state races, but quite the possible in their national polls lol. I guess we'll see which ends up being closer to the truth.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,471
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2022, 10:43:56 AM »

GA and NC are becoming very blue
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,985


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2022, 10:58:38 AM »

Monmouth is a bad pollster, but I’ve seen little evidence that Walker can actually avoid a runoff here, which is all that matters, really (and I say this as someone who expects a much better night for Republicans than is currently indicated by most polling). Unless polls are dramatically underestimating R gains with non-white voters (which is Walker's only hope), this is probably over and even NH may flip before GA at this point.
Agreed. It is very ironic how coalition shifts have come so quickly with which base is higher propensity.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 12 queries.