Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...

Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...
Kern update.

Yeah looks like Valadao will have it.

We don’t know that. Salas did what he needed to in Valadao’s home Kings County which is basically all in.

Maybe, but that update was not at all what Salas wanted to see.

Besides, you’re an anti-Trump Republican. Shouldn’t you be rooting for one of the few left?

[Ferguson97]

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

Even if Valadao and Boebert win, that's only 221.

[Roll Roons]

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

Even if Valadao and Boebert win, that's only 221.

CA-13 is still possible for the GOP, with CA-47 as a long shot.

[wbrocks67]

Why is DDHQ calling all of these races for the GOP yet has the Dems stuck at 203? So they're calling CA-03 but not calling CA-09, CA-21, CA-49?

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...
Kern update.

Yeah looks like Valadao will have it.

We don’t know that. Salas did what he needed to in Valadao’s home Kings County which is basically all in.

Maybe, but that update was not at all what Salas wanted to see.

Besides, you’re an anti-Trump Republican. Shouldn’t you be rooting for one of the few left?

I’m fine with Valadao and woulda voted for him. Doesn’t mean I think he’ll win. There’s still probably 40k still to count if 2018 was any indication, and all will be from Kern. Salas was just a strong challenger. At the very least he won’t be a far left vote based on his Assembly record, so I have no issue with Salas winning either.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Why is DDHQ calling all of these races for the GOP yet has the Dems stuck at 203? So they're calling CA-03 but not calling CA-09, CA-21, CA-49?

No that's actually making me extremely mad for some reason even though we've already lost the House.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...

Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

Yeah, I get some of these CA seats are redder downballot but there is simply no reason the GOP should be winning in places like CA-03, 22, 27, 41, etc.

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...

Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

Yeah, I get some of these CA seats are redder downballot but there is simply no reason the GOP should be winning in places like CA-03, 22, 27, 41, etc.

2 of those seats are Trump districts and Valadao is a very strong incumbent CA-22 (I still believe he's a slight underdog), and Dems just dropped the ball in CA-27. Salas ran a very solid campaign in CA-22.

[Ferguson97]

Porter, Harder, and Garcia should have their races called.

[Dani Rose]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...
Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

Yeah, I get some of these CA seats are redder downballot but there is simply no reason the GOP should be winning in places like CA-03, 22, 27, 41, etc.

The DNC needs to override the NY and CA state parties in 2024 and do their job for them, to be honest.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

218 right now
CA-27 and CO-03 put it at 220
CA-22 would be 221
CA-13 would be 222
CA-47 would be 223 if Porter goes down somehow

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...

Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

Yeah, I get some of these CA seats are redder downballot but there is simply no reason the GOP should be winning in places like CA-03, 22, 27, 41, etc.

I don't know where you think these districts are, but Biden did not win either CA-03 or 41.

[wbrocks67]

King County, WA counted more results. Murray is literally up to +15.0 right now statewide. I said it before but Trafalgar, Moore, and IA literally made up their results at this point for those polls.

[wbrocks67]

Bennet up to +14.6. Polis up to +19.3. He's about to overtake DeSantis.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...

Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

Yeah, I get some of these CA seats are redder downballot but there is simply no reason the GOP should be winning in places like CA-03, 22, 27, 41, etc.

I don't know where you think these districts are, but Biden did not win either CA-03 or 41.

My point being that they were close; and CA-41 was nearly tied in the primary. With Newsom and Padilla winning 20% statewide, Dems should've put up better #s in almost all of these districts.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Here are photos of the Kern County portion of CA-22. Biden won it by 20 and even Newsom won it by 9 in 2018. It basically contains no white suburbs of Bakersfield (which are super R and high turnout). This is why I'm skeptical that Salas will only be up by 5 here in the end, since it's not like a case where low Hispanic turnout would allow white suburbs to swing things hard right, and also the Kern County portion mirros a lot of Sala's state Senate district directly.

This will be close.

[South Dakota Democrat]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1592657245439168513

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1592657475547066368

HUGE RELIEF!

Lol, enjoy holding together a tiny majority with MTG and Tom Kean. Plus Biden can still confirm judges. And now he can blame the house when portions of his agenda don't get through.

This is a poisoned chalice.

I would rather he blame the GOP for his agenda not going through, then his agenda continuing to go through.

You know, I'll say fair enough to that.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Winning the House is all that we needed to do because it means that any bill codifying Roe is DOA for at least two more years.

Senate woulda been nice, as much as I may disagree with your Roe position ER

Gotta have the judges, PQG, gotta have the judges.

[Хahar 🤔]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1592665858723414016?s=20&t=Ba-HkSXHoplrlxx...

Kern update.

Dang, 222-213 would suck. Too much breathing room for McCarthy, plus I want him to have the symbolic humiliation of a smaller majority than Pelosi after 2020.

CA-22 would be seat 221 for the GOP. I agree though it would really suck if the GOP just narrowly swept all these west coast seats by the skin of their teeths

Yeah, I get some of these CA seats are redder downballot but there is simply no reason the GOP should be winning in places like CA-03, 22, 27, 41, etc.

I don't know where you think these districts are, but Biden did not win either CA-03 or 41.

Yeah, the assertion that obviously Republicans should be losing Sacramento exurbs is really something. Just say you don't know anything about California and stop talking!

[Skill and Chance]

Winning the House is all that we needed to do because it means that any bill codifying Roe is DOA for at least two more years.

So in other words, Dems can campaign on abortion in 2024, a presidential year. Thanks.

I don't want to speak for this person, but if being pro-life is one of your top issues, getting Dobbs was probably worth waiting out even a decade-long Dem trifecta as long as SCOTUS doesn't flip.

[wbrocks67]

Masto up 9k in Nevada now, 48.88% - 47.99%

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I see a lot of premature assumptions are being made re: CA house races...

[Lognog]

It apparently wasn't the maps

It was that New York Democrats just sucked

https://twitter.com/JCColtin/status/1592585091783753728?s=20&t=IUenSL3O6P93X...

If Zeldin didn't win the primary and Hochul didn't run a terrible campaign, I think that would have been the real difference maker

[Progressive Pessimist]

Considering how much I feared the worse for a better part of this year in the lead-up to the midterms, which felt like I was a death row inmate being led to my execution, I can very easily live with a bare majority for the GOP in the House. The only reason part of me was hoping for a narrow Democratic majority after last Tuesday would have just been to twist the knife in McCarthy and the GOP's wounds or to see embarrassments like Lauren Boebert lose. Otherwise a narrower majority for the Democratic Party honestly might not be worth it, and the GOP may very well find that out as they try to survive their own circular firing squad and factional disputes. They can be blamed now if anything goes wrong and give a unified Democratic Party something to run against in 2024.

Maybe it's a beggars can't be choosers situation, but nearly everything went the way I had hoped or better in my wildest, though still grounded, fantasies, so I feel like I'm being ungrateful to be disappointed with how some of the House elections went. It is absolutely fair to be frustrated by specific races where Democrats fell short or met setbacks, but on a macro level, looking at the overall results this was an utterly humiliating result for the GOP, and they know it, no matter how much they try to polish the turd/poisoned chalice of their inevitably dysfunctional majority.