Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[ProgressiveModerate]

Are there enough absentees still outstanding in the Syracuse area that Conole could still be pushed over the top in NY-22?

It’s one of those races where there’s uncertainty on exactly how much remains and where exactly from, similar to CO-03. I’d rather be Williams but that’s why networks haven’t called it. We know there are at least 8k mail votes outstanding from Ondogna County (Syracuse)

Speaking of Ondogna:

https://twitter.com/OCBOE/status/1592194697858273282?s=20&t=qCeDf_pM-GXEJU0x...

This is remarkably transparent for a NY county.

NY vote counting system got a million times better this cycle. Much faster and more transparent. NY-22 is cursed though cause in 2020 the old NY-22 was also a very drawn out too close too call process but that was Utica County screwing up iirc

[wbrocks67]

Looking like about 47% turnout this year, just barely under 2018, and way above 2002-2014 midterms.

https://twitter.com/ActiVoteUS/status/1592203707634032640

[DaleCooper]

NBC projection still on 219-216 GOP control +/- 4. Not sure if they're seeing something differently than us, but they seem to be more bullish on there still being a narrow path for the Dems.

They're just hedging their bets.

That's easily been the most obnoxious thing about the press this election cycle. They've clearly made it their goal to muddy the waters enough that they can take credit (or at least take no blame) regardless of who wins.

[wbrocks67]

NBC projection still on 219-216 GOP control +/- 4. Not sure if they're seeing something differently than us, but they seem to be more bullish on there still being a narrow path for the Dems.

They're just hedging their bets.

That's easily been the most obnoxious thing about the press this election cycle. They've clearly made it their goal to muddy the waters enough that they can take credit (or at least take no blame) regardless of who wins.

Yep, no better example than Wasserman being dead quiet for most of last week and then suddenly popping back up when it looks like GOP will ultimately win the house.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Looking like about 47% turnout this year, just barely under 2018, and way above 2002-2014 midterms.

https://twitter.com/ActiVoteUS/status/1592203707634032640

We may be celebrating but that’s still awful by international first world country standards

[wbrocks67]

Looks like one place where Emerson was pretty good this cycle was Kansas. They had Kelly up about 2-3 in both their polls and she's at +2.1 right now.

[Spectator]

Looks like one place where Emerson was pretty good this cycle was Kansas. They had Kelly up about 2-3 in both their polls and she's at +2.1 right now.

Shame she couldn’t get Mann over the finish line.

[cg41386]

Eh, I like Lakshya a lot but there is a LOT of aftermath quarterbacking here, only bc Lake is now on track to lose. Many, many people were convinced that she was running a good campaign and Hobbs was flopping. People are now just backtracking a lot b/c she's not anymore.

Some of us were Hobbs believers from day one

I mean, she didn't. Kelly is probably carrying her over the finishline. Though I think it wasn't that Hobbs was running a weak campaign, just that Lake was running a very good one.

Oh? How so?

[jamestroll]

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1591896826885595136

I do believe my current district will continue to get friendlier to Democrats.

BTW Boebert would have lost under old lines.

[Dani Rose]

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1591896826885595136
I do believe my current district will continue to get friendlier to Democrats.

BTW Boebert would have lost under old lines.

There's something very satisfying about the leftward shift in some of the cowboy states this year. Bring back the era of the solid blue West!

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/Leftist_Kiwi/status/1592193138851880962

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1591896826885595136
I do believe my current district will continue to get friendlier to Democrats.

BTW Boebert would have lost under old lines.

There's something very satisfying about the leftward shift in some of the cowboy states this year. Bring back the era of the solid blue West!

All we’re missing is Utah, although we might need a Mormon Vatican II.

[jamestroll]

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1591896826885595136
I do believe my current district will continue to get friendlier to Democrats.

BTW Boebert would have lost under old lines.

There's something very satisfying about the leftward shift in some of the cowboy states this year. Bring back the era of the solid blue West!

A lot of colorado transplants are to the left of me.... I expect CO trend to continue. It may become out of reach for the GOP..

[soundchaser]

Thinking out loud about Kennedy's potential run for governor - it would be a fascinating way to (briefly) get the Senate to 52 Democratic seats, since John Bel Edwards would get temporary appointment privileges until a special election. He'd probably pick a fairly conservative Democrat, so it's unlikely the filibuster gets removed, but things could suddenly get very interesting if not.

[xavier110]

Schweikert will win AZ-01. I wonder if he retires before 2024.

Had his primary this year been a two-person race, he probably would have lost. And then if he manages to somehow sneak past a primary again in 2024, he probably loses the general. So why bother?

This is not necessarily a better environment for him than 2024 will be. I think Arizona will be within a few points in 2024 either way. If Trump is nominee then Schweikert may be the underdog, but under other nominees the top of ticket may even win his district.

True. It’s a done deal in a Trump election, IMO. This district is zooming left — Kelly will win it by a margin larger than his statewide margin. The Sinema/Kelly/Biden (now /Hobbs/Fontes) voters are hardening their D lean.

[Person Man]

Eh, I like Lakshya a lot but there is a LOT of aftermath quarterbacking here, only bc Lake is now on track to lose. Many, many people were convinced that she was running a good campaign and Hobbs was flopping. People are now just backtracking a lot b/c she's not anymore.

Some of us were Hobbs believers from day one

I mean, she didn't. Kelly is probably carrying her over the finishline. Though I think it wasn't that Hobbs was running a weak campaign, just that Lake was running a very good one.

Oh? How so?

Publicity

[SCNCmod]

Washington Post has R's leading in current vote count for CA13 & CA22, but still gives Dems "slightly favored" to win.

On the Flip side, they have CA41 & CA45 as R leading the vote count & also "slightly favored to win."

But in all 4, both sides still have a chance to win.

[brucejoel99]

Thinking out loud about Kennedy's potential run for governor - it would be a fascinating way to (briefly) get the Senate to 52 Democratic seats, since John Bel Edwards would get temporary appointment privileges until a special election. He'd probably pick a fairly conservative Democrat, so it's unlikely the filibuster gets removed, but things could suddenly get very interesting if not.

Wouldn't Kennedy just make sure to time his resignation from the Senate to line-up exactly with the beginning of his elected gubernatorial term in order to ensure that the appointment of his successor is his to make & not JBE's?

[Reactionary Libertarian]

A lot of colorado transplants are to the left of me.... I expect CO trend to continue. It may become out of reach for the GOP..

“Become”? It already is. The GOP did better in the Illinois governor’s race with a nut on the ballot, and did better against Chuck Schumer in the Senate even though O’Dea is extremely moderate.

[wbrocks67]

Laxalt has yet to concede...

https://twitter.com/CNNThisMorning/status/1592207461674496000

[BlueSwan]

Thinking out loud about Kennedy's potential run for governor - it would be a fascinating way to (briefly) get the Senate to 52 Democratic seats, since John Bel Edwards would get temporary appointment privileges until a special election. He'd probably pick a fairly conservative Democrat, so it's unlikely the filibuster gets removed, but things could suddenly get very interesting if not.

Without a majority in the house it doesn't really matter.

[MillennialModerate]

Thinking out loud about Kennedy's potential run for governor - it would be a fascinating way to (briefly) get the Senate to 52 Democratic seats, since John Bel Edwards would get temporary appointment privileges until a special election. He'd probably pick a fairly conservative Democrat, so it's unlikely the filibuster gets removed, but things could suddenly get very interesting if not.

Without a majority in the house it doesn't really matter.

[Spectator]

A lot of colorado transplants are to the left of me.... I expect CO trend to continue. It may become out of reach for the GOP..

“Become”? It already is. The GOP did better in the Illinois governor’s race with a nut on the ballot, and did better against Chuck Schumer in the Senate even though O’Dea is extremely moderate.

Colorado is basically the California of the Rockies at this point. CO-03 is only a cycle or two removed from the marijuana hippies that are moving there in droves flipping it.

[Хahar 🤔]

We may be celebrating but that’s still awful by international first world country standards

Other countries do not have "midterm elections" (with the exception of Argentina and Mexico), so there's no comparison here. In any case, I'm not sure what about this contemporary high-turnout era of American politics has made you think that a heavily politicized populace is an inherently good thing.

[Virginiá]

Few states are ever truly out of reach for the minority party, at least in certain statewide contests. Re: JBE, Hogan or Kelly winning governor's offices of otherwise hostile states.

But Colorado now has a 46 - 19 Dem state House majority, a 23 - 12 state Senate majority, and Democrats not only control all the statewide row offices but totally blew out the Governor's race as well. Colorado Republicans are going to be a miserable husk of a party for quite a while, I think. And that will largely apply even if they manage to pull off an upset in a governor's race sometime in the next couple decades.