Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/SpecialPuppy1/status/1590795327640113158?s=20&t=Jl1PWCrN...

[wbrocks67]

God help us all if Hobbs wins by something like 0.3%. Lake is gonna explode.

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/adriaeln/status/1590792751150469135

It really sucks that out of everyone in the nyc area, Menéndez is the one who outruns Biden.

Tbf though, I think Murphy actually did better than Biden margin wise in 2021 so it could just be NJ-08 in 2020 Pres was a high turnout anomaly

[TheReckoning]

When everything is said and done, there should really be an investigation on why some states take so long to count the vote. It’s dangerous for democracy yet easily fixable.

No investigation needed - in some states, the way mail-in voting occurs means it takes ages to count. We know how to fix things, but (mostly) Republican state legislatures won't let it happen.

I’m pretty sure the California, Oregon and Nevada state legislatures, where most of these seats are outstanding, don’t exactly have Republican strangleholds on their legislature.

Hence "(mostly)" - Arizona, Pennsylvania, etc. all had chances to change the way things were counted and their legislatures blocked them.

Pennsylvania has had no problems with counting votes, not nearly as much as the Democratic states.

Everyone was warning us to be prepared for a long slog since Philly was forced to count mail votes more slowly – only reason that didn't come to pass is Shapiro and Fetterman knocking it out of the park.

Oh FFS California doesn’t even have half of its vote counted, while PA has more than 95% counted. California has much bigger problems with counting the vote in a timely fashion. Why are you even arguing against this.

[Spectator]

God help us all if Hobbs wins by something like 0.3%. Lake is gonna explode.

That would be very satisfying of a meltdown to watch.

[President Johnson]

Yes… ha ha ha… YES!
https://twitter.com/davidedwards/status/1590751056748720128?s=46&t=6BCI5Gnw-...

Yes.... fight, fight, fight!

But she said Ron DeSantis has BDE (Big D**k Energy) before... lmao.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/adriaeln/status/1590792751150469135

Good to know that if anybody ever writes a rap about this Congress, there *will* be a rhyme for Bob Menendez. 

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/adriaeln/status/1590792751150469135

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1590793250641629184

https://twitter.com/adriaeln/status/1590793905653837824

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/KyleClark/status/1590771397810610177

WHAT!?!?!?!? I TAKE BACK EVERYTHING I SAID ABOUT ASPEN ITS NOT OVERPRICED AND FULL OF TRANSPLANTS PLEASE PITKIN PLEASE!!!!!

What district are you from, Forumlurker?

CO-6. It used to matter and then 2018 it flipped and has never looked back.

[Thunder98]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

[Not Me, Us]

God help us all if Hobbs wins by something like 0.3%. Lake is gonna explode.

That would be very satisfying of a meltdown to watch.

Not if it results in violence.

[LimoLiberal]

My guess is that the 172K consists of the 60K pre-election day votes to be counted + 112K of the election day drop-offs. Not quite as good of a sign for Hobbs if it was all election day drop-offs, but still pretty good.

[Hope For A New Era]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Monongalia was D+9.

[President Johnson]

By the way, if Democrats indeed fall short of a single seat, you could also blame Charlie Crist instead of New York Democrats. He threw away a swing district in Florida for a vanity run that he could never win. Should have remained in the House and let some other sacraficial lamb lose to DeSandwich.

[new_patomic]

It's genuinely such an odd choice for her to go after DeSantis.

I suppose that can only be taken as a sign that the entire movement is readying to strike him down for the crime of being too popular, like it's the politburo or something.

[Atlas Force]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590774464073322496

[BlueSwan]

At this point it would be kinda upsetting if Boebert manages to hang on to her seat.

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Honestly, that’s about the reverse of what I’d expect. I figured the eastern panhandle would shift blue because of its connections to exurban DC.

[ajc0918]

By the way, if Democrats indeed fall short of a single seat, you could also blame Charlie Crist instead of New York Democrats. He threw away a swing district in Florida for a vanity run that he could never win. Should have remained in the House and let some other sacraficial lamb lose to DeSandwich.

He would've lost the new seat map seat anyway.

[SCNCmod]

Well, Biden will win primary very easily if he decides to run (very, very likely). He is effective leader for Democrats, relatively popular with base and relatively unpolarizating figure. There is no reason for him not to run (except health issues), and there is no reason for the base to reject him

Biden isn't that popular with the base... when compared to other Dems (he is popular compared to a Republican opponent).

He's not even winning the latest NH primary poll- I think he only has like 16% support... Buttigieg has 17% support and 4 or 5 others are spread out between Biden & Harris (who is 6th or 7th with single digit support).

And this will only continue to grow- bc the almost universal reason Dems give for not wanting him to run- is his age...  and he will be even older 2 years from now.

[It’s so Joever]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Honestly, that’s about the reverse of what I’d expect. I figured the eastern panhandle would shift blue because of its connections to exurban DC.

Lagging trends effect. Not too shocking for a lower profile race.

[Stranger in a strange land]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Honestly, that’s about the reverse of what I’d expect. I figured the eastern panhandle would shift blue because of its connections to exurban DC.

Lagging trends effect. Not too shocking for a lower profile race.

Also the first people to move to far exurbs tend to be Republicans (attracted by still having some of the trappings of rural life and not minding long commutes as much).

[Hope For A New Era]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Honestly, that’s about the reverse of what I’d expect. I figured the eastern panhandle would shift blue because of its connections to exurban DC.

Doesn't Mooney live there also?

[Oryxslayer]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Honestly, that’s about the reverse of what I’d expect. I figured the eastern panhandle would shift blue because of its connections to exurban DC.

Mooney remains the congressman most vulnerable to a primary challenge but somehow has yet to get one. Like he only survived an incumbent fight cause Trump pushed the scale heavily in his favor.

[ottermax]

If CA-41 flips, it would be kinda funny since it was almost drawn as an R sink.

How is it an R sink if it has a bunch of Palm Springs homosexuals in it?

It was created as a leftovers seat after all the non-white areas had been carved into neighboring districts... it has an interesting mix of traditionally hyperconservative Olivia Rodrigo suburbia, exurban Corona and Hemet, and then liberal and trending moreso parts of the Palm Desert.
“Almost” = I imagine it was an R sink but then they added the gays in.