Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/sppeoples/status/1590515149206536192

Great line.

[Schiff for Senate]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...
As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...
Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

Can't wait to see how screwed these fruitcakes are.

I’m a little afraid. Especially if Kari loses.

This is America. We shouldn't be afraid of asshole behavior. Period.

Agreed.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/TheNVIndy/status/1590771809045315585

[Schiff for Senate]

https://twitter.com/pasquines_us/status/1590050197727744001

This shows a huge political shift, honestly maybe comparing this year to 2014 was underselling it.

Just want to remind everyone of this absolute gold take.

Yeah, Forumlurker’s dooming was IMO much more irritating than SnowLabrador’s.

[wbrocks67]

Good for Frisch?

https://twitter.com/Thorongil16/status/1590773933040861185

[ProgressiveModerate]

With These Irregular, slow, and sporadic dumps, NV and AZ could be eligible for a diabetes diagnosis

[pantsaregood]

Good for Frisch?

https://twitter.com/Thorongil16/status/1590773933040861185

Not really good or bad. It will all be about maintaining the margin in Pueblo.

[Spectator]

WA-03 doesn’t seem to be narrowing much in the raw votes at all. Still Perez +10000

[Atlas Force]

With These Irregular, slow, and sporadic dumps, NV and AZ could be eligible for a diabetes diagnosis

TRUE

[Schiff for Senate]

I told you all Otero would end Frisch, its just too red.

You told us all a bunch of things that turned out to have not happened so from you it's meaningless, especially when you call the game after it's over

I agree, but wait, does this mean Boebart’s won? That’s not what I’m seeing, and I most certainly hope it’s not true. Ousting Boebart would be one of the biggest highlights of this cycle for me - a loud, extremist show horse losing in a shored-up seat Trump won by a decent margin.

[Schiff for Senate]

NJ congressional results by county/ 2020 pres/ 2021 gov:

Atlantic: R+23/D+7/R+11
Bergen: D+13/D+16/D+6
Burlington: D+17/D+20/D+7
Camden: D+36/D+33/D+24
Cape May: R+30/R+16/R+26
Cumberland: R+13/D+6/R+12
Essex: D+55/D+55/D+49
Gloucester: D+2/D+2/R+10
Hudson: D+49/D+46/D+48
Hunterdon: R+10/R+4/R+19
Mercer: D+59/D+40/D+31
Middlesex: D+16/D+22/D+12
Monmouth: R+13/R+3/R+18
Morris: D+0/D+4/R+11
Ocean: R+41/R+29/R+36
Passaic: D+8/D+16/D+4
Salem: R+26/R+13/R+29
Somerset: D+10/D+21/D+4
Sussex: R+26/R+20/R+35
Union: D+27/D+35/D+24
Warren: R+26/R+16/R+28

Atlantic and Mercer will change significantly, but that’s the initial results.

Camden putting in work. D+24 is kind of ugly for 2021. No wonder Murphy underperformed overall.

Norcross, or his brother more realistically, wield immense power in Camden County and South Jersey. It’s not surprising that the machine would hold the county solid for Donald Norcross. South Jersey is one of the few places left in the country that can be said to have a machine.

George Norcross and Phil Murphy have feuded for years. He let Murphy fend for himself in 2021. Murphy collapsed in South Jersey in 2021 because of that, even though it’s typically very strong in State level races, and he took a few legislative seats with him. Among these was Steve Sweeney, the State Senate president.  Sweeney was Norcross’ main scion.

Van Drew is another Norcross protege. He was given approval by George Norcross to switch parties, but he used to be part of the Dem machine there. Part of the reason why Van Drew dominated is that Norcross still supports him. It’s easy to win in a landslide as a Republican when the local Democratic establishment basically supports you.

This is all very interesting - thanks for sharing!

[Schiff for Senate]

Good for Frisch?

https://twitter.com/Thorongil16/status/1590773933040861185

Come on, come on, come on, Frisch!!!
At this point this is probably the House seat I most want the Democrats to win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All these close districts are gonna be repeats next time with H as closely divided as last time Rs are gonna have the same majority as Ds had

[SCNCmod]

Pundits/TV analysts need to give some perspective when talking about Florida. Of course yes, the state is absolutely trending more red, but the context here is that the Democratic Party literally spent $0 in this state this election, which is quite different than the last 10 election cycles. DeSantis/Rubio were on track to win big, but I'd say their margins are also a bit inflated due to the lack of Dem participation. And unsurprisingly, that lack of Dem motivation (from national party), also clearly depressed Dem turnout.

I mean, the ultimate electorate that came out in FL was literally 54% Biden was legitimately elected, 43% not. That shows Dems just didn't show up.

I think the best development for Dems in Florida is for a Cuban American Dem candidate, somewhat moderate, 35-40 year old, to come on the scene to run for a house seat in 2024. (preferably 2 such candidates... a male & female).  Candidates that Cuban-Hispanics will really identify with, both personally & ideologically.

[John Dule]

This is quickly coming down to MD-06, CO-03, and CA-13. I think if the Dems win 2/3 of these, they have a legitimately good chance of holding the House. Not the most likely scenario IMO, but definitely plausible.

[John Dule]

Also, apparently Calvert's district now includes parts of Palm Springs, where his anti-gay stances do not play well. I saw some post on here saying Rollins was now trailing-- where did that info come from? NYT still has him up 8 points.

[pppolitics]

In CNN's exit polls, Oz not being from Pennsylvania turns out of be a bigger issue than Fetterman having a stroke

I'm shocked voters don't like carpetbaggers.

Fetterman had been trolling Oz constantly over his residency

https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1552314977784143877
https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1547683652791717891
https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1552324950773710848
https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1545100119456071681
https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1550211995026194432
https://twitter.com/johnfetterman/status/1546228363760656386

[Kamala's side hoe]

The Hispanic incumbency pattern may be true after all.

The way the pundits said the GOP would continue to make massive gains with Hispanics. I-

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1590737770372558848

Remember, Hispanics support abortion rights! They’re not all machistas who hate the illegals because they did it the right way, or whatever GOP strategists would have you believe.

Florida happened because Ronny D triangulated on abortion for all the Xiomara Villanuevas and Lina Santillans out in South Florida and Orlando.

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1590198542588514310

[Dani Rose]

With These Irregular, slow, and sporadic dumps, NV and AZ could be eligible for a diabetes diagnosis

Someone should check WA and OR for an impaction at this point.

[Spectator]

This is quickly coming down to MD-06, CO-03, and CA-13. I think if the Dems win 2/3 of these, they have a legitimately good chance of holding the House. Not the most likely scenario IMO, but definitely plausible.

OR-05 outstanding ballots are a big wildcard too, hard for me to not think Democrats could eke a win out of there based on how things went in Oregon.

[Atlas Force]

Seems like a pretty notable underperformance for Walker there

https://twitter.com/jonathancasasga/status/1590738950129582080

[wbrocks67]

This is quickly coming down to MD-06, CO-03, and CA-13. I think if the Dems win 2/3 of these, they have a legitimately good chance of holding the House. Not the most likely scenario IMO, but definitely plausible.

OR-05 outstanding ballots are a big wildcard too, hard for me to not think Democrats could eke a win out of there based on how things went in Oregon.

and Clackamas County, a blue area, is still waiting on a bunch of ballots as well.

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/maxpcohen/status/1590774672052080640

[Biden 2024]

House is a pure tossup IMO.

[ottermax]

Do we know why CT-05 was so close?

Hayes' campaign was widely considered by those familiar with it to be an objective disaster.

Why so?