Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Mike88]

Less than 10,000 ballots remain uncounted in Georgia's Senate race, according to the SoS.

[TheReckoning]

NYT called Wisconsin for Johnson

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Hey Khuzi, I see you're lurking around here. 

Any insights on the Asian-American/Indian vote yet? Or is it too early for that?

[lfromnj]

Andy Levin deserves to be mocked.

Was a very foolish move to challenge Stevens in MI-11 rather than give us two strong incumbents in both districts.

In defense it was actually Stevens who did the carpetbag(She had a strong feeling and moved before the commission made the final map but had 2 preliminary drafts)

[win win]

fwiw
predictit has NV at 60% D, Georgia at 66 and az at 75

[LimoLiberal]

Is there really 39K mail-in ballots to count in Washoe on top of the 18.5K dropped off yesterday? That would be huge for Dems (and honestly gel with 2018 turnout much more than current estimates...)

https://twitter.com/ColtonLochhead/status/1590405481314779136

Just investigated this independently and.... yeah. According to the Washoe County election site, only 40K of 79K mail ballots have been counted. Maybe I'm reading something wrong, but this seems like something that deserves a ton more attention?

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

If Republicans end up winning ~220 seats in the House, Brian Fitzpatrick and Don Bacon may become the House GOP's Manchin and Sinema. Less likely considering they are far more likely to toe the line than Manchinema are, but will be an interesting dynamic to watch.

[Morning in Atlas]

Hell, even Schumer barely won by more than Whitmer and Shapiro.

What is going on in New York? Will be super ironic and annoying if it costs us the House.

From what I've heard on the ground, a near-total lack of campaigning on the state party level. No real GOTV effort from the state party or Hochul's campaign herself. The NYDP basically checked out, thought they could coast to victory, and blew the House.

[Spectator]

Jared Golden’s margin just expanded when I was on his race page. He’s at 48.9% now. Still Safe D.

[Tekken_Guy]

If Republicans end up winning ~220 seats in the House, Brian Fitzpatrick and Don Bacon may become the House GOP's Manchin and Sinema. Less likely considering they are far more likely to toe the line than Manchinema are, but will be an interesting dynamic to watch.

Don’t forget Kean.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Hell, even Schumer barely won by more than Whitmer and Shapiro.

What is going on in New York? Will be super ironic and annoying if it costs us the House.

From what I've heard on the ground, a near-total lack of campaigning on the state party level. No real GOTV effort from the state party or Hochul's campaign herself. The NYDP basically checked out, thought they could coast to victory, and blew the House.

Campaigning makes a difference.  Just as Doug Mastriano.  While he still probably would've lost, he might've had a better chance if he hadn't started airing ads, y'know, a week before election day. 

[Alben Barkley]

Aa good a night as Colorado generally was, it wasn’t so great for alcoholics apparently:

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

If Republicans end up winning ~220 seats in the House, Brian Fitzpatrick and Don Bacon may become the House GOP's Manchin and Sinema. Less likely considering they are far more likely to toe the line than Manchinema are, but will be an interesting dynamic to watch.

Don’t forget Kean.

The center of the political universe lies within a 30 mile radius of my house.

[Lognog]

NYT said NY 3 4 17 19 all to R's. I think its over

Well we weren’t even supposed to be competitive in the House, there was talk of 40+ seat waves for the GOP. Quite impressive that it’s actually taking a full day to call it.

I agree. it's been a fun watch and all things considered a very good night, just sad to come this close and lose

[John Dule]

Aa good a night as Colorado generally was, it wasn’t so great for alcoholics apparently:

My gambling initiatives failed too

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Aa good a night as Colorado generally was, it wasn’t so great for alcoholics apparently:

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1590386807903948800?s=61&t=tYl4M8lu9F-YpZ...

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Aa good a night as Colorado generally was, it wasn’t so great for alcoholics apparently:

There's too much sh**t on me

[Zinneke]

Any constituency result that left you guys psephologically baffled? Like where the electorate delivered a result you wouldn't expect given the demographics?

Literally all of New York.

Has it got to do with polarisation over Cuomo machine politics? Or something else?

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1590386807903948800?s=61&t=tYl4M8lu9F-YpZ...

They would have still won the state house under this year IMO, the median seat was never that different and its really hard to gerrymander with 110 seats with super strict county/city rules. The senate map was impossible although they actually got a gerrymander for the senate.

[Spectator]

Has anyone mapped out the gubernatorial/Senate results by House district at all? My rough math has Mills still losing ME-02 by about 4%, and Shapiro winning PA-01 despite Fitzpatrick’s easy romp. Wondering if anything else stands out yet to anyone…Whitmer presumably won MI-10, and Evers might have won WI-03. I think Kelly won KS-02.

Obviously AK, VT, and NH split tickets too.

[lfromnj]

Overall I still am insanely shocked Maloney lost despite getting the new square endorsement. I had this as Safe D simply because of the fact it would have been Biden +17, I wonder how many defections Lawler got from the Orthodox vote.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Wait.  Wait wait wait wait wait wait.  

Colorado said: "yeah, psychedelics are A-okay!"

But selling alcohol in grocery stores? "No.  No way.  Absolutely not.  We HAVE to draw the line somewhere!"

[Oryxslayer]

Also, if it hasn't been mentioned, the massive NH State House looks to be coming down to the wire with potential recounts that actually could matter since the seats are so small. See https://twitter.com/nhpol603

Add it to the long list of chambers where crucial benchmarks seem to be just barely met:  Both MI, Both NV, Both MN, PA House, both AZ, and several where GOP supermajority thresholds were denied.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Good morning everyone. What'd I miss?