Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

What are the chances Gluesenkamp Pérez beats Joe Kent? It seems like she is holding her own in Clark County, 59% while Biden won it by 50%, although I'm not sure how the voting methods in WA benefit each side.

[ultraviolet]

Minor update. I can't even imagine a trifecta wow

https://twitter.com/CraigDMauger/status/1590244927421943808?s=20&t=b0kcZYWwv...

[Lief 🗽]

It seems like Gretchen Whitmer, who this forum has consistently criticized and underestimated, has single-handedly engineered a blue wave in the state of Michigan.

https://twitter.com/vanillaopinions/status/1590244273601273857

[Dani Rose]

Win or lose on the latter's part, Fetterman and Barnes have proven something tonight that I think all of our future Senate candidates should take to heart going forward.

Inspire. Your. Base.

[wbrocks67]

Masto looks okay in NV. The red counties are starting to fill in, and getting to 80-90% counted, with a lot of Clark and Washoe still out.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

ccm looks dead to me here

0 votes counted in nye, lyon and douglas.. those 3 counties delievered trump 300k margin in the last election, normalizing for this election turnout , its 200k votes, which would even up laxalt with ccm

NV depends on who you think wins the rest of Clark. and ralston said election day turnout was like 25k dem and 45k republicans

On this note, the Needle has edged back into Tossup range for the Senate.

[7,052,770]

Tracker: Where are the remaining votes in key Senate midterm races?

https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/senate-midterm-elections-votes-tracker-n1300492

Oh sh**t, Barnes might still pull this out (!)  ... if there are really 116,000 ballots still out there in Milwaukee/Madison

I made an extremely dubious calculation just using those NBC numbers and assuming every county holds its current % but increases its vote count, and Johnson wins by about 8,000 votes. So if the remaining 94,000 in Milwaukee County are better than 70-30 margin for Barnes ... it's possible.

But all of this assumes that the NBC numbers are right, and that my method doesn't screw things up too much.

[Ferguson97]

A red wave? At this time of year? At this time of day? In this part of the country? Localized entirely within Florida?

[Gass3268]

Has Oz conceded yet?

[wbrocks67]

Slotkin now up 4% with <95% in!

Another joke of a call for all the pundits who moved this race to Leans R yesterday.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

How is CCM doing compared to where Biden was at this point back in 2020? Also how is Hobbs doing in Arizona, same comparison? That's kind of my benchmark for judging how these candidates are doing.

Also, from what I'm gathering, if Hobbs is favored then that basically means that Kelly is safe?

Hobbs is doing a little bit better, CCM maybe a hair worse. I'm cautiously confident about Arizona and Nevada seems like a coin flip.

[Gass3268]

Still a ton of mail vote in Nevada that hasn't been counted and won't be tonight.

https://twitter.com/Carrasquillo/status/1590217583059697664?s=20&t=OBz6anZfu...

[win win]

Masto looks okay in NV. The red counties are starting to fill in, and getting to 80-90% counted, with a lot of Clark and Washoe still out.

yes the problem is rest of clark-washoe is laxalt ahead

IN-PERSON Election Day Turnout Update in Clark County, Nevada

6:50pm
Total 138321
Dem 38769 (28.0%)
Rep 59283 (42.9%) +20,514 (-239 since last update)
Other 40269 (29.1%)

Washoe turnout update (no mail tallied) continues to be GOP blowout:

Total: 36,306

D -- 8,317 (23 percent)
R -- 17,696 (49 percent)
O -- 10,293 (28 percent)

[wbrocks67]

Has Oz conceded yet?

Nope. He literally just shut down his event and went home.

[wbrocks67]

Masto looks okay in NV. The red counties are starting to fill in, and getting to 80-90% counted, with a lot of Clark and Washoe still out.

yes the problem is rest of clark-washoe is laxalt ahead

IN-PERSON Election Day Turnout Update in Clark County, Nevada

6:50pm
Total 138321
Dem 38769 (28.0%)
Rep 59283 (42.9%) +20,514 (-239 since last update)
Other 40269 (29.1%)

Washoe turnout update (no mail tallied) continues to be GOP blowout:

Total: 36,306

D -- 8,317 (23 percent)
R -- 17,696 (49 percent)
O -- 10,293 (28 percent)

Right, but see above - there is still a crap load of mail that has not been counted in Clark (and seemingly Washoe) yet

[gf20202]

Win or lose on the latter's part, Fetterman and Barnes have proven something tonight that I think all of our future Senate candidates should take to heart going forward.

Inspire. Your. Base.

Barnes shouldn't get a participation medal. Did Evers inspire the base? No, he ran a safe campaign and didn't spend years going left needlessly in a 50-50 state. Ron John was so beatable, wish Dems had gone normcore with Alex or Sarah. Dems really needed this seat to have any shot of holding senate in 2024. Barnes blew it, so maybe hold off on the haliography.

[7,052,770]

The Needle now down to 224-211, the closest we've seen tonight I think.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1590245927536955393

[President Johnson]

Good morning from Germany! I spent the last hour and a half reading this thread from page 30, without checking the news before. I always asked myself when the big red wave was going to sweep and am more than just thrilled Democrats apparently overperformed expectations. What a night! Just Florida makes me laughing hard. Status as worst state confirmed. Also embarrassing Queen Kathy so much underperformed.

Anyway, DARK BRANDON CONFIRMED.

[Alben Barkley]

meddling in the primaries confirmed as GOOD

https://twitter.com/Robillard/status/1590238360534413317

But I was told by Yankee that if democracy dies, it will be Democrats' fault because of this genius 3D chess move...

Much to my surprise this was a masterful move

It was a gambit. A successful one, but Yankee wasn't wrong that it was risky.

He was wrong, however, in arguing that even if it failed then the blame would lie more with Democrats than Republicans for electing them and wanting to elect such people in the first place.

[Yoda]

Win or lose on the latter's part, Fetterman and Barnes have proven something tonight that I think all of our future Senate candidates should take to heart going forward.

Inspire. Your. Base.

Couldn't be more accurate. This is why Sinema will be a one-term Senator.

[John Dule]

I'm counting the outstanding House districts that are still leaning R. The Republicans need 24 more seats to gain control by the NYT's count. They are currently leading in... 23.

[wbrocks67]

Not really sure how I see Kirkmeyer coming back in CO-08. Caraveo is +2 with

52,000 votes out in Adams (Caraveo +15)
28,000 votes out in Weld (Kirkmeyer +19)
3,500 votes out in Larimer (Kirkmeyer +6)

[Alben Barkley]

Has Oz conceded yet?

Nope. He literally just shut down his event and went home.

How I imagine Dr. Oz right now:

Also I assume by "home" you mean New Jersey!

[Alben Barkley]

A red wave? At this time of year? At this time of day? In this part of the country? Localized entirely within Florida?

Yes!