Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[soundchaser]

Philly phinally reporting. 

12% in, Fetterman leads 92-6 (58,657-3,847)

Wowza. Looking great for Fetterman.

[Aurelius]

What on earth is taking so long in IN-01?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Things are looking solid for Kelly in Kansas so far.

[Alben Barkley]

Well I hope tonight at least puts to rest any doubts that Virginia is now a blue state at the federal level.

[DaleCooper]

Philly phinally reporting. 

12% in, Fetterman leads 92-6 (58,657-3,847)

Wowza. Looking great for Fetterman.

Isn't 12% a bit low to project?

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1590155114119016448

You know what, given D4P's propensity to give the GOP an edge on turnout in every state, it's really no surprise FL ended up being their most accurate lol

[Enduro]

Philly phinally reporting. 

12% in, Fetterman leads 92-6 (58,657-3,847)

Oz is still closing the gap though

[Vespucci]

How the hell did it take this long to project it for Phil Scott??

The Senate race was showing zero votes in like an hour after polls closed, so just seems like slow counting.

[Alben Barkley]

I'm definitely not getting my hopes up about Ohio, but Vance is really underperforming DeWine by a pretty extraordinary margin.

It's sad because if it was a different year, Ryan would have actually won. It's going to be a heartbreaker.

[win win]

the needle says rubio + 17
pre election polling rubio +8.8

gonna be a long night

[soundchaser]

Philly phinally reporting. 

12% in, Fetterman leads 92-6 (58,657-3,847)

Wowza. Looking great for Fetterman.

Isn't 12% a bit low to project?

I'm not projecting the race necessarily, but that's a wider margin than a lot of early voting modeling had.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Ayy BucksCo joining the party. 

12% in, Fetterman up 79-18 (31,410 - 7,259)

Northampton County reporting, too

12% in, Fetterman up 78-20 (19,213 - 4,181)

[Hindsight was 2020]

So if the NYT needle has it tied what counties and what margins does Oz need to make up what Fett is doing in Philly and Pitt?

[new_patomic]

Interestingly if unimportantly

Results so far do consistently show Mullin underperforming Lankford something like 5-7 percent

[wbrocks67]

NYT is estimating 540K total votes in Philly. They were estimated to be at about 520K at 7pm, so that doesn't include the final hour + another possible 45K mail ballots that needed to be returned today. Probably undercounting a bit.

Shapiro running about 8% ahead of Fett. A final result of Fett +2 and Shapiro +10 could be very realistic.

[Aurelius]

The crazy trends in Hispanic parts of Florida have me really excited for South Texas. I already had Flores and De La Cruz predicted to win, but now I'm thinking we could knock out Cuellar too.

[7,052,770]

If Spanberger pulls it out, it's a pretty good upset compared to expectations mid-day, right?

[DaleCooper]

Philly phinally reporting. 

12% in, Fetterman leads 92-6 (58,657-3,847)

Wowza. Looking great for Fetterman.

Isn't 12% a bit low to project?

I'm not projecting the race necessarily, but that's a wider margin than a lot of early voting modeling had.

Fair enough.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Miami-Dade is ground zero for what happens when disinformation campaigns are allowed to materialize among racial minorities without any pushback, the alt-right media and the proud boys effectively taking control of the Miami-Dade GOP is literally a massive red flag for anyone who values democracy and civil politics.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I knew Vance wasn't up 10

[MillennialModerate]

What happened to all the optimists with Warnock and Fetterman? NYT has them both losing

(But AZ likely go Dem? WTF?)

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Erie flipped red on NYT's map, but only 2% of the vote in. 

Oz leads 58-39, (1,151 - 778)

[The Free North]

Only 9% of NC vote is day of.

Its over.

[Crackerjack McJohnson]

I'm really impressed with what the GOP has done in Florida.  They are like the nerd that is determined to take the pretty girl to prom.  They say "THAT'S GONNA BE MINE" and they all laugh; no that 40 EVs is a TOSSUP, we'll who's laughing now?  Dems would have to take Texas but everytime Trump goes down to the Rio Grande and tells the Hispanics they are all border-jumping lowlifes he wins them by more!  Could turn into their red wall. 

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Things are looking solid for Kelly in Kansas so far.

I expect Kelly to win. Let's see if that holds up.
EDIT: Post #31,000