Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 16, 2024, 09:03:17 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 ... 557
Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 301719 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #575 on: November 08, 2022, 05:19:33 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:18:02 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:15:34 PM
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:14:22 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

The bar is real low but that is not as bad as I had feared.
Exactly the same approve disapprove as Trump in the 2018 exit poll.

I wonder if they will have a Fav/Unfav question about Trump in the exits.


It would be cool if they did.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #576 on: November 08, 2022, 05:20:20 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 08, 2022, 05:19:14 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:17:37 PM
Quote from: Dani Rose on November 08, 2022, 05:16:49 PM
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Ah, so it turns out the abortion issue didn't go away! Who'd have thought!
27% is literally the dem base lol.

Woo! 73-27 GOP popular vote incoming!
inb4 R gain MD-05
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #577 on: November 08, 2022, 05:21:04 PM »
I'm curious - are the "what is your top issue" polls usually asked with pre-set potential answers or do the respondents volunteer answers? Cuz I feel like if I had to pick from a list, I'd probably give a different answer than if I could say what my top issues are, the latter being a lot more abstract and not-one-word-long.
Logged
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,576


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #578 on: November 08, 2022, 05:21:11 PM »
Quote from: 15 Down, 35 To Go on November 08, 2022, 05:19:19 PM
FOX's voter analysis has the Supreme Court at 51% approval.  That has to be a good sign for Republicans.

Probably, but the Guardian Council does tend to be a trusted institution in general, at least relative to its actual degree of principle and good faith.
Logged
testing123
Stevieboi1994
Newbie
*
Posts: 1
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #579 on: November 08, 2022, 05:21:16 PM »
27% listing abortion as their most important issue makes me think the exit polls shared the problem of contacting too many high information white progressives that the horse race polls did
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #580 on: November 08, 2022, 05:22:03 PM »
Quote from: Stevieboi1994 on November 08, 2022, 05:21:16 PM
27% listing abortion as their most important issue makes me think the exit polls shared the problem of contacting too many high information white progressives that the horse race polls did

Welcome to the forum!
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #581 on: November 08, 2022, 05:22:14 PM »
Quote from: Miscellaneous Top Secret Crumpets on November 08, 2022, 05:22:03 PM
Quote from: Stevieboi1994 on November 08, 2022, 05:21:16 PM
27% listing abortion as their most important issue makes me think the exit polls shared the problem of contacting too many high information white progressives that the horse race polls did

Welcome to the forum!
Logged
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #582 on: November 08, 2022, 05:23:40 PM »

Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,828


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #583 on: November 08, 2022, 05:23:53 PM »
CNN exits are very old, very white, and very educated. 51% college degree.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,031


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #584 on: November 08, 2022, 05:24:08 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:18:02 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:15:34 PM
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:14:22 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

The bar is real low but that is not as bad as I had feared.
Exactly the same approve disapprove as Trump in the 2018 exit poll.

I wonder if they will have a Fav/Unfav question about Trump in the exits.
Logged
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,975
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #585 on: November 08, 2022, 05:24:25 PM »
This poll is obviously bunk if those are the racial figures they got (unless they lumped all white hispanics under white).
Logged
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,644
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #586 on: November 08, 2022, 05:24:55 PM »
Exit polls aren’t terrible
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #587 on: November 08, 2022, 05:25:20 PM »
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on November 08, 2022, 05:24:25 PM
This poll is obviously bunk if those are the racial figures they got (unless they lumped all white hispanics under white).
"White Latinos counted as White" was immediately what I thought when seeing those figures.
It's just illogical...
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,071


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #588 on: November 08, 2022, 05:25:41 PM »
Exit polls are meaningless, at least early vote data is concrete data.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,079


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #589 on: November 08, 2022, 05:26:31 PM »
Those CNN demographics aren’t too crazy compared to 2018.

https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2020/09/08/democrats-made-gains-from-multiple-sources-in-2018-midterm-victories/
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #590 on: November 08, 2022, 05:26:41 PM »
Keep your devils exits to yourself

Won't fool me again
Logged
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #591 on: November 08, 2022, 05:26:44 PM »
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,449
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #592 on: November 08, 2022, 05:27:07 PM »
Quote from: Stevieboi1994 on November 08, 2022, 05:21:16 PM
27% listing abortion as their most important issue makes me think the exit polls shared the problem of contacting too many high information white progressives that the horse race polls did

That *does* look rather high to me...
Logged
kwabbit
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,003


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #593 on: November 08, 2022, 05:27:18 PM »
Quote from: Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil on November 08, 2022, 05:25:20 PM
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on November 08, 2022, 05:24:25 PM
This poll is obviously bunk if those are the racial figures they got (unless they lumped all white hispanics under white).
"White Latinos counted as White" was immediately what I thought when seeing those figures.
It's just illogical...

Most Hispanics are White. If they only counted Black Hispanics it would be a few percent. Unless they allowed you to choose White and Latino as a racial categories and didn't have Hispanic as a separate question.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,071


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #594 on: November 08, 2022, 05:27:36 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:26:44 PM

How does that square with Trump favorability?
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,187


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #595 on: November 08, 2022, 05:27:38 PM »
Okay but based Virginia Beach now? Were the early DOA results a little much now?
Logged
Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,483
United States


P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #596 on: November 08, 2022, 05:27:39 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 05:32:23 PM by Kamala's side hoe »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 08, 2022, 04:50:44 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 08, 2022, 04:48:19 PM
Friendly reminder to keep it civil, folks.

Can I still chuck bite-sized 3-Muskateers at khuzifenq's head later tonight?

My favorite candy bar, excellent.

CNN exit polls are quite something. Biden’s approvals are surprisingly high even though everything else on the screen suggest a modest R wave.

Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:23:53 PM
CNN exits are very old, very white, and very educated. 51% college degree.

That explains it. 10% under 30, 20% 30-44
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,652


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #597 on: November 08, 2022, 05:28:26 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 08, 2022, 05:27:38 PM
Okay but based Virginia Beach now? Were the early DOA results a little much now?



Dooming OVER? ? ? ?
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,071


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #598 on: November 08, 2022, 05:28:37 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 08, 2022, 05:27:38 PM
Okay but based Virginia Beach now? Were the early DOA results a little much now?


I hope you stay on here all night with us.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,807


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #599 on: November 08, 2022, 05:28:40 PM »
Both Dave Wasserman and Sean Trende are hinting on Twitter about a possible upset in FL-23 based on what they're seeing in the early vote numbers.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 ... 557  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 11 queries.