Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 301627 times)
soundchaser
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« Reply #550 on: November 08, 2022, 05:13:30 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 08, 2022, 05:11:54 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 08, 2022, 05:00:44 PM
NoVA on track for a 2021 redux



Just because the topline turnout is similar doesn’t necessarily mean the results will be the same lol.

I seem to remember a thread on this very forum saying that persuasion, not turnout, made the difference in this year's specials. Hard to imagine that NOT impacting NoVA at least a little bit.
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Zache
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« Reply #551 on: November 08, 2022, 05:13:48 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:09:21 PM


Seriously, who are the people saying they're satisfied?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #552 on: November 08, 2022, 05:14:13 PM »
Seriously, my only source of hopium is hoping that Republican polling leads and turnout advantages mean that Dems won’t have a terrible night because these “indicators” are wrong and the opposite has to come true like in other years. It is patently ridiculous but I know some of you feel that way too
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RI
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« Reply #553 on: November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM »
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #554 on: November 08, 2022, 05:14:20 PM »
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #555 on: November 08, 2022, 05:14:22 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

The bar is real low but that is not as bad as I had feared.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #556 on: November 08, 2022, 05:15:29 PM »
Top two issues are inflation and abortion (in that order).
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #557 on: November 08, 2022, 05:15:34 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:14:22 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

The bar is real low but that is not as bad as I had feared.
Exactly the same approve disapprove as Trump in the 2018 exit poll.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #558 on: November 08, 2022, 05:15:43 PM »
Don't we tell ourselves not to pay too close attention to early exit polls every year.. then we end up doing that exact thing? lol
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #559 on: November 08, 2022, 05:16:04 PM »
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Huh, abortion is actually higher than I would've though it'd be (if pressed, I would've thought crime and abortion would've been swapped considering how much those awful Citizens for Sanity ads have been running). 
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President Johnson
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« Reply #560 on: November 08, 2022, 05:16:30 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:14:22 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

The bar is real low but that is not as bad as I had feared.

Yeah, and if he himself actually run, he could actually gain five, six or seven points (or a swing of three, four points) and be over 50%, therefore well positioned for reelection. Especially if Republicans in congress overreach.
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #561 on: November 08, 2022, 05:16:49 PM »
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Ah, so it turns out the abortion issue didn't go away! Who'd have thought!
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Brittain33
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« Reply #562 on: November 08, 2022, 05:16:58 PM »
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Great, inflation + crime + immigration = 54% and that’s assuming all abortion and gun policy voters were Dem (not possible)
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #563 on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:04 PM »
Quote from: Zache on November 08, 2022, 05:13:48 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:09:21 PM


Seriously, who are the people saying they're satisfied?
Anarchists.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #564 on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:08 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 08, 2022, 05:16:04 PM
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Huh, abortion is actually higher than I would've though it'd be (if pressed, I would've thought crime and abortion would've been swapped considering how much those awful Citizens for Sanity ads have been running). 

Btw PQR if you don’t mind me asking who did you ultimately choose for Senate?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #565 on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:36 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 08, 2022, 05:16:04 PM
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Huh, abortion is actually higher than I would've though it'd be (if pressed, I would've thought crime and abortion would've been swapped considering how much those awful Citizens for Sanity ads have been running). 
Yeah, I'm surprised to see abortion that high.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #566 on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:37 PM »
Quote from: Dani Rose on November 08, 2022, 05:16:49 PM
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Ah, so it turns out the abortion issue didn't go away! Who'd have thought!
27% is literally the dem base lol.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #567 on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:46 PM »
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


So, it's literally two datapoints, but I think it's interesting that in Washington State, just 8% say crime is their top issue, while nationally it's at 12%. Not so much because crime is rampant here or anything, but because "vote for me because of crime" has been like 75% of Smiley's Senate campaign.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #568 on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:54 PM »
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


That abortion-inflation gap isn’t that bad, honestly. Especially taking into account that some D’s are gonna rate inflation high, and a smaller amount of R’s abortion.

And that approval number is the exact same as Trump’s in 2018.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #569 on: November 08, 2022, 05:18:02 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:15:34 PM
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 08, 2022, 05:14:22 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:12:12 PM
CNN exit poll has Biden 45% approve 54% disapprove.

The bar is real low but that is not as bad as I had feared.
Exactly the same approve disapprove as Trump in the 2018 exit poll.

I wonder if they will have a Fav/Unfav question about Trump in the exits.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #570 on: November 08, 2022, 05:18:31 PM »
Are we getting a top-line democrat vs republican vote number ?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #571 on: November 08, 2022, 05:18:39 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 08, 2022, 05:17:08 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 08, 2022, 05:16:04 PM
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Huh, abortion is actually higher than I would've though it'd be (if pressed, I would've thought crime and abortion would've been swapped considering how much those awful Citizens for Sanity ads have been running). 

Btw PQR if you don’t mind me asking who did you ultimately choose for Senate?

G*

And I'm being annoyingly quiet about who I voted for, at least for tonight. 
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #572 on: November 08, 2022, 05:18:41 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on November 08, 2022, 04:43:15 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 08, 2022, 04:40:59 PM
Quote from: Horus on November 08, 2022, 04:40:05 PM
It's been clear for several weeks that the GOP is going to win both houses of Congress.

If one of Warnock/Fetterman/Barnes wins I'll consider today successful enough under the circumstances.

I would be so happy if Ron Johnson lost (not that I think he will). 
But why? He's awesome a fascist nutjob.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #573 on: November 08, 2022, 05:19:14 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 08, 2022, 05:17:37 PM
Quote from: Dani Rose on November 08, 2022, 05:16:49 PM
Quote from: RI on November 08, 2022, 05:14:18 PM


Ah, so it turns out the abortion issue didn't go away! Who'd have thought!
27% is literally the dem base lol.

Woo! 73-27 GOP popular vote incoming!
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #574 on: November 08, 2022, 05:19:19 PM »
FOX's voter analysis has the Supreme Court at 51% approval.  That has to be a good sign for Republicans.
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