Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Isn't that literally the same guy who in 2017 did the whole "Good for Dems in the morning, very bad for Dems in the middle of the day, Good again for Dems in the evening!" thing?

Come to think of it, there was someone on Twitter (as in more than just some random Tweet... er) who kept saying " exit polls not looking good for Democrats" during the 2017 VA-GOV election. 

This started at like 10 AM.  I'm wondering if this is the same guy. 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Anecdotal turnout observations: it's a beautiful and amazingly warm (76F) day here in Forsyth County.  I was out with my wife for a while and happened to drive past three local precincts.  Two had half-full parking lots, while the other was nearly empty.  None had visible lines outside their buildings.  My kid in Athens also texted that he and his girlfriend voted this morning and there was no wait.

Aw, GeorgiaModerate Jr.!

But yeah, don't stress yourselves out (or celebrate) prematurely.  Anecdotal reports -- whether from Twitter randoms or established pros -- are just that.  

HST, definitely seems like a mixed bag though today thus far!

[It’s so Joever]

Anecdotal turnout observations: it's a beautiful and amazingly warm (76F) day here in Forsyth County.  I was out with my wife for a while and happened to drive past three local precincts.  Two had half-full parking lots, while the other was nearly empty.  None had visible lines outside their buildings.  My kid in Athens also texted that he and his girlfriend voted this morning and there was no wait.

Aw, GeorgiaModerate Jr.!

But yeah, don't stress yourselves out (or celebrate) prematurely.  Anecdotal reports -- whether from Twitter randoms or established pros -- are just that. 

Definitely been a mixed bag though today thus far!

If you look carefully they have mostly pointed in one direction, can’t wait to see tonight.

[win win]

would it surprise you if Rs win 40% of latinos statewide?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Idk if this is anything representative of the rest of the nation, but E-Day turnout in NYC seems to be quite poor (liberal and largely white parts of Brooklyn to be specific). If Rs hold the statewide NY races close, low NYC turnout will be the reason.

Fun fact; in 2020 if you equalized turnout across congressional districts in NY, Biden would've won the state by over 27% which is pretty significant.

[jamestroll]

Isn't that literally the same guy who in 2017 did the whole "Good for Dems in the morning, very bad for Dems in the middle of the day, Good again for Dems in the evening!" thing?

I was not referring just to that tweet, but everything I am seeing so far. It could change.

[ProgressiveModerate]

would it surprise you if Rs win 40% of latinos statewide?

In what state. In Florida, it's expected but in a place like NY, it's pretty much impossible

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/pasquines_us/status/1590050197727744001

This shows a huge political shift, honestly maybe comparing this year to 2014 was underselling it.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Anecdotal turnout observations: it's a beautiful and amazingly warm (76F) day here in Forsyth County.  I was out with my wife for a while and happened to drive past three local precincts.  Two had half-full parking lots, while the other was nearly empty.  None had visible lines outside their buildings.  My kid in Athens also texted that he and his girlfriend voted this morning and there was no wait.

Aw, GeorgiaModerate Jr.!

But yeah, don't stress yourselves out (or celebrate) prematurely.  Anecdotal reports -- whether from Twitter randoms or established pros -- are just that.  

HST, definitely seems like a mixed bag though today thus far!

GeorgiaMinor

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/pasquines_us/status/1590050197727744001

This shows a huge political shift, honestly maybe comparing this year to 2014 was underselling it.

I just want to say this is Guam which isn't even an official state and is hence very disconnected politically. Also, this dude has no actual voting power which means how voters make their choice is very different.

[BenjiG98]

https://twitter.com/pasquines_us/status/1590050197727744001

This shows a huge political shift, honestly maybe comparing this year to 2014 was underselling it.

Democrats also flipped a local seat at the same time... so... no. idiot.

[Green Line]

As GUAM goes, so goes the nation!

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/pasquines_us/status/1590050197727744001

This shows a huge political shift, honestly maybe comparing this year to 2014 was underselling it.

You're extrapolating national trends from Guam?

You were less obnoxious as a doomer.

[Aurelius]

Gonna make a twitter account to stay on top of the results. Who should I follow?

Already on my radar: Wasserman, Ralston, Nate Silver, Nate Cohn

[Pink Panther]

Yeah, there are definitely massive warning signs for Dems at the moment, but Guam isn't one of them.

[Pink Panther]

Gonna make a twitter account to stay on top of the results. Who should I follow?

Wasserman for starters.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I feel like the collapse of the FL State Dem party is really going to be one of those things people talk about for the next 10 years. The fact Dems are outright behind in Miami Dade already is awful.

It'll be interesting to see how much of Rs gains in Florida is contained to Miami or if Rs also do nuts out of Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville.

[jamestroll]

Gonna make a twitter account to stay on top of the results. Who should I follow?

Already on my radar: Wasserman, Ralston, Nate Silver, Nate Cohn

I just made a fake twitter account.

lol

[emailking]

What I am seeing from my proprietary, confidential sources concerning the lunch vote is that it is looking a lot like a 303 map. Remember, the lunch vote is the key. The morning vote skews R, the late afternoon/evening vote skews D, so it is the lunch vote that is the decisive decider that decides it all, and all signs from the lunch vote are pointing squarely to a 303 map, not a 242 map.

Is this referring to electoral votes or House Seats or what?

[jamestroll]

https://twitter.com/GuamPDN/status/1590040552598560770

ticket splitting is back baby!!!

[Logical]

You're all better off playing video games and getting smashed on your drug of choice until 8PM ET.

[Florida Man for Crime]

What I am seeing from my proprietary, confidential sources concerning the lunch vote is that it is looking a lot like a 303 map. Remember, the lunch vote is the key. The morning vote skews R, the late afternoon/evening vote skews D, so it is the lunch vote that is the decisive decider that decides it all, and all signs from the lunch vote are pointing squarely to a 303 map, not a 242 map.

Is that good for Republicans or Democrats?

Good question. Honestly I struggle sometimes struggle to decipher what it means. However, I rely on the fact that 303 is a larger number than 242, and larger numbers are greater than smaller numbers. And greater also means better. So I take it cautiously as a good sign (for the Dems). It may not mean a winning night per se, but at least looks like better than the worst case scenario could be.

[Nyvin]

Still at work but from what I gather tonight will be worse than even I thought ?

Turnout in NH is huge, a lot of wards in Manchester past 50% 2018 turnout before noon.

[Aurelius]

What time do IN/KY results start to roll in? Not talking about polls closing, rather actual results. Probably best for my sanity to set an alarm for that time instead of trying to read the Twitter tea leaves.

[President Johnson]

It's too unfortunate to live in the wrong time zone to watch this unfolding live without taking the next day off... however, it seems like there's nothing to celebrate either way.