Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[TheReckoning]

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think we all know that it's going to be a bad night, it's just that the results for a non-voting delegate in Guam (especially when Democrats did well in other races there) aren't a sign of it.

Why would Republicans winning be “bad”?

I'm not him, but I'll guess that it's because he's a Democrat and wants Democrats to win. What kind of question is that?

He said that as if it was an objective fact, not his personal opinion.

[Brittain33]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.

GUAM

[soundchaser]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.  Just a bunch of guys driving each other crazy.

We had Dixville Notch a few hours ago! Catch up!

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.  Just a bunch of guys driving each other crazy.

ACTUALLY, we had Guam and Dixville Notch report official results. That totally justifies our 26 pages of discussion.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I think I'm just going to go offline until, like 8 PM. The first hour or two of results is rarely helpful in figuring things out and honestly I'd rather be doing literally anything other than adding to my stress in that way.

I actually disagree.  Looking at county swings in the Indiana and Kentucky counties that will close soon can actually be informative for similar rural counties.  Like, I could tell in 2020 that Trump's margins were slightly down from 2016 in a lot of those counties.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I hope all those Trafalgar polls are Wrong

[GeorgiaModerate]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.

GUAM

And Dixville Notch! Let us not forget those 5 voters.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.

GUAM

[Baki]

NBC exits New Hampshire

68% don't want Biden to run again in 2024
46% strongly disapprove of Biden

[7,052,770]

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think we all know that it's going to be a bad night, it's just that the results for a non-voting delegate in Guam (especially when Democrats did well in other races there) aren't a sign of it.

Why would Republicans winning be “bad”?

I'm not him, but I'll guess that it's because he's a Democrat and wants Democrats to win. What kind of question is that?

He said that as if it was an objective fact, not his personal opinion.

...

[Devils30]

I think I'm just going to go offline until, like 8 PM. The first hour or two of results is rarely helpful in figuring things out and honestly I'd rather be doing literally anything other than adding to my stress in that way.

I actually disagree.  Looking at county swings in the Indiana and Kentucky counties that will close soon can actually be informative for similar rural counties.  Like, I could tell in 2020 that Trump's margins were slightly down from 2016 in a lot of those counties.

Yeah, if Paul is like at 82% in Elliott you kind of know what's coming.

[Crumpets]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.

If we've kept it to 26 pages, I think that means we've matured a bit since the 2020 Democrat Veepstakes. 295 freaking pages of "It's Harris. It's definitely Harris. Yeah, it's probably Harris." before, lo and behold, it turned out to be Harris.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590110891344728064
I'm less nervous about Neveda i think the idea that clark county being the one place where turnout falls to 2014 levels is unlikley so the weight of probaility suggests dems are just dropping their votes off. I think the unions that made the Reid machine were telling their members to do that as well.

Yeah, I mean it really depends on how much mail is out. I would assume if most Dems were being told to do mail-in ballots that their in-person would be a huge dropoff. But this also means the GOP is hugely dropping off too...

[Hollywood]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.  Just a bunch of guys driving each other crazy.

We had Dixville Notch a few hours ago! Catch up!

I guess you're technically correct, but wrong in spirit.

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think we all know that it's going to be a bad night, it's just that the results for a non-voting delegate in Guam (especially when Democrats did well in other races there) aren't a sign of it.

Why would Republicans winning be “bad”?

I'm not him, but I'll guess that it's because he's a Democrat and wants Democrats to win. What kind of question is that?

He said that as if it was an objective fact, not his personal opinion.

Usually when someone says that something is "bad" or "good" the unstated assumption is that they are stating an opinion, seeing as how "bad" and "good" are (typically) subjective terms. The way he used the word was perfectly understandable.

[wbrocks67]

NBC exits New Hampshire

68% don't want Biden to run again in 2024
46% strongly disapprove of Biden

I thought states don't release exits until their polls close?

[EastwoodS]

Posted in the wrong chat, but my parents voted in Ft. Myers at around 530 and there was a huge line with a one hour wait.

[Lief 🗽]

Reading more about the NV situation, I am dooming less now. If every voter was mailed a ballot, and if you can just drop it off or mail it today without having to wait in line at the polling site, who would waste time actually voting in person (which are the only numbers we are seeing)? It’s not surprising that the only ones are MAGA lunatics who think absentee ballots are woke trans Soros socialism.

[soundchaser]

26 Pages without a single election result lol.  Just a bunch of guys driving each other crazy.

We had Dixville Notch a few hours ago! Catch up!

I guess you're technically correct, but wrong in spirit.

Won't be the last time, I'm sure.

[wbrocks67]

Honestly, the exit poll having 18-44s at 30% total isn't great, but it's not even as bad as what was expected my some polls. Pretty sure the CBS/YouGov tracker had consistently pegged that group to only be like 25-27% of the electorate (with an R+2 overall result)

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/JustR_02/status/1590112463114366977?t=oAovqgcR0t5ABqIMGYKc0g...

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I hope all those Trafalgar polls are Wrong

So do I, olawakandi. So do I.

[Gracile]

Trump's favorables are at 37/60 per CNN.

[TheReckoning]

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think we all know that it's going to be a bad night, it's just that the results for a non-voting delegate in Guam (especially when Democrats did well in other races there) aren't a sign of it.

Why would Republicans winning be “bad”?

I'm not him, but I'll guess that it's because he's a Democrat and wants Democrats to win. What kind of question is that?

He said that as if it was an objective fact, not his personal opinion.

Usually when someone says that something is "bad" or "good" the unstated assumption is that they are stating an opinion, seeing as how "bad" and "good" are (typically) subjective terms. The way he used the word was perfectly understandable.

In politics, especially in the modern era, the lines between what people consider to be their “subjective” opinions versus “objective” fact are often very, very blurred.

[Baki]

https://twitter.com/JustR_02/status/1590112463114366977?t=oAovqgcR0t5ABqIMGYKc0g...

The FOX numbers are much closer to my expectations, so I'll believe that until proven otherwise..