Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[pantsaregood]

NC at R+3.7 you can argue actually trended 2% Dem from 2020. In an even to R+1 year it's R+4 or so instead of the R+6 in 2020.

NC has been trending D since 2000 at an absolutely glacial pace. If it trended this year, it wouldn't be at all surprising. NC's rurals were unusually slow to collapse for Democrats (unlike the rest of the south), and as a result Obama was able to win in 2008. The bottom has now largely fallen out of the rurals, but there's a lot of room for Democrats to grow in suburbs and even urban areas.

Interestingly, the NC Democrats never got shut entirely out of power like other states in the south. 2015-2016 was probably their weakest point.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1590760786808696836

One day, the trends will follow downballot. By 2026, Dems will have a majority in both houses, despite the gerrymander.

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/_alex_joshua/status/1590749244163784707

What if you are a girl?

[pantsaregood]

https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1590760786808696836

One day, the trends will follow downballot. By 2026, Dems will have a majority in both houses, despite the gerrymander.

Do you think it is a sustainable trifecta? Downballot races in New Hampshire seem absurdly swingy.

[TheReckoning]

https://twitter.com/_alex_joshua/status/1590749244163784707

I know it’s a joke, but the House is still safe R. There’s simply no way Democrats flip all the seats they’re trailing in.

[xavier110]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...

As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...

Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

Can't wait to see how screwed these fruitcakes are.

I’m a little afraid. Especially if Kari loses.

[Crumpets]

You know, people like to complain about the American political system compared to other democracies, but can we just take a second to be thankful for not having to go through government formation after this?

[Dani Rose]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...
As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...
Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

I see no reason why they shouldn't both win at this point. Correct me if I'm wrong (I am mega ADHD and balancing a ton of information at the moment), but haven't the Pima returns been even more dire for the GOP than in Maricopa?

[wbrocks67]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...
As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...
Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

I see no reason why they shouldn't both win at this point. Correct me if I'm wrong (I am mega ADHD and balancing a ton of information at the moment), but haven't the Pima returns been even more dire for the GOP than in Maricopa?

Yes, the Pima drop yesterday was better for Dems than Maricopa's

[wbrocks67]

Colorado seems like it's going thru a bit of a red shift right now, but it seems like it may again turn back to blue by the end? Is that the typical vote counting there? (Caraveo down to +0.06, but more Adams votes out still)

[pantsaregood]

You know, people like to complain about the American political system compared to other democracies, but can we just take a second to be thankful for not having to go through government formation after this?

We may actually go through a similar mess this cycle. If the GOP gain a majority in the house (likely), there are a lot of reasons to believe Republicans will have a hard time controlling their caucus.

[Schiff for Senate]

Boebart is at 50.1-49.9% with 98% of the vote in. This one’s going to be a nail-biter, quite possibly the NY22 or IA02 of this cycle (though hopefully it’ll go the other way than those two ultimately went…)

[7,052,770]

https://twitter.com/_alex_joshua/status/1590749244163784707

I know it’s a joke, but the House is still safe R. There’s simply no way Democrats flip all the seats they’re trailing in.

Except there is, with all the heavily D mail-ins

Desperately need CO-3 though

[Hammy]

I told you all Otero would end Frisch, its just too red.

You told us all a bunch of things that turned out to have not happened so from you it's meaningless, especially when you call the game after it's over

[wbrocks67]

The Hispanic incumbency pattern may be true after all.

The way the pundits said the GOP would continue to make massive gains with Hispanics. I-

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1590737770372558848

[GeorgiaModerate]

I told you all Otero would end Frisch, its just too red.

You told us all a bunch of things that turned out to have not happened so from you it's meaningless, especially when you call the game after it's over

Forumlurker when Frisch takes the lead: Everybody calm down, wait for the next vote dumps.

Forumlurker when Boebert takes the lead: It's over.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/ElonMusgraves/status/1590539223505203200

[Person Man]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...

As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...

Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

Can't wait to see how screwed these fruitcakes are.

I’m a little afraid. Especially if Kari loses.

This is America. We shouldn't be afraid of asshole behavior. Period. Dark Brandon will do what Dark Brandon does if worse came to worse.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

The Hispanic incumbency pattern may be true after all.

The way the pundits said the GOP would continue to make massive gains with Hispanics. I-

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1590737770372558848

Remember, Hispanics support abortion rights! They’re not all machistas who hate the illegals because they did it the right way, or whatever GOP strategists would have you believe.

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/jacobfhsmith/status/1590762888163397632

[Schiff for Senate]

NC at R+3.7 you can argue actually trended 2% Dem from 2020. In an even to R+1 year it's R+4 or so instead of the R+6 in 2020.

NC has been trending D since 2000 at an absolutely glacial pace. If it trended this year, it wouldn't be at all surprising. NC's rurals were unusually slow to collapse for Democrats (unlike the rest of the south), and as a result Obama was able to win in 2008. The bottom has now largely fallen out of the rurals, but there's a lot of room for Democrats to grow in suburbs and even urban areas.

Interestingly, the NC Democrats never got shut entirely out of power like other states in the south. 2015-2016 was probably their weakest point.

Notably enough, not a single NC county gave Trump 80% in 2020. In every other remotely Southern state (assuming we don’t count MD as southern - because it really isn’t), excepting SC, Trump managed this feat. SC also doesn’t really count since it has an unusually small number of counties compared to neighboring states - if it had smaller counties, as is more typical in the south, Trump probably would have managed 80% in at least one. NC, though, has 100 counties - more than every other southern state except for VA (if you count independent cities) and TX, so the same defense can’t be made there. And, funnily enough, Biden actually managed 80% in one NC county (Durham).

[wbrocks67]

AP calls IL-17 for Sorenson and CT-05 for Hayes

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/jacobfhsmith/status/1590762888163397632

https://twitter.com/jlazarus001/status/1590769875882237953

[pantsaregood]

https://twitter.com/pasquines_us/status/1590050197727744001

This shows a huge political shift, honestly maybe comparing this year to 2014 was underselling it.

Just want to remind everyone of this absolute gold take.

[wbrocks67]

Damn. AP called IA-03 for Nunn. Axne was so close.