Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[prag_prog]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

[wbrocks67]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

MTE, though didn't Herrel outrun Trump in 2020? Maybe the election denier stuff actually did hurt her.

[wbrocks67]

Huh.. well despite the CA Dems flopping in congressional districts, the CA GOP had little other good news.

https://twitter.com/lordpet8/status/1599862470340120577?s=46&t=Yr3mbdv1WCwJO...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Huh.. well despite the CA Dems flopping in congressional districts, the CA GOP had little other good news.

https://twitter.com/lordpet8/status/1599862470340120577?s=46&t=Yr3mbdv1WCwJO...

Wbrooks do you know Marriage Equally came after Eday that was the Collins plan to delay the Marriage Equally bill until after Eday CA is pro SSM of it passed before Eday we would of won the H with pickups in CA and NY especially since Sean Patrick Murphy is gay, just like Collins strategically Filibuster the Voting Rights Act she is a moderate but still a partisan

Now that Marriage equality passes it has an effect on KY Gov, NC Gov and GA SEN we will win all three race the transgender bathroom bill was unpopular I'm NC that's why Cooper won

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

MTE, though didn't Herrel outrun Trump in 2020? Maybe the election denier stuff actually did hurt her.

Nope. She under ran Trump in 2020 and under ran the top of the ticket in 2018 as well.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Huh.. well despite the CA Dems flopping in congressional districts, the CA GOP had little other good news.

https://twitter.com/lordpet8/status/1599862470340120577?s=46&t=Yr3mbdv1WCwJO...

"California Democrats peaked in 2018"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Huh.. well despite the CA Dems flopping in congressional districts, the CA GOP had little other good news.

https://twitter.com/lordpet8/status/1599862470340120577?s=46&t=Yr3mbdv1WCwJO...

"California Democrats peaked in 2018"

SSM had a lot to do with Ds not gaining more seats in the H, the Ds delayed the vote thanks to Collins until after Eday that's why Ds failed to maintain the H Sean Patrick Murphy was gay and Cali is a SSM system State Ds did fine but not good enough in NY or Cali in the H

Feinstein on the ballot with Biden and Gillibrand can max out votes in 24, we only n Ed 5 seats

[ottermax]

D Riverside County but R San Bernardino County seems like the inverse of recent presidential results.

A bit disappointing to see OK all red, guess it's the counterpart of MA?

San Bernardino County is a bit more Latino than Riverside County and didn't have any competitive house elections while Riverside had at least one competitive race.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

D Riverside County but R San Bernardino County seems like the inverse of recent presidential results.

A bit disappointing to see OK all red, guess it's the counterpart of MA?

Along with the aforementioned low turnout;

1. Both counties have gone blue in presidential elections since 2008. San Bernardino County typically votes to the left of Riverside, although the gap has been shrinking since 2016. Doing the math for this year, the congressional vote margin was around 2% which would be on the closer end of things.

2. Before this year, the last time Riverside voted left of San Bernardino in a Gubernatorial/Presidential race was 2014. Interestingly, the turnout gap was nearly identical for both years (Riverside+5.8 vs Riverside+5.7 in 2014).

3. As mentioned before, the more-competitive CA-41 takes up a big chunk of Riverside's congressional vote while San Bernardino County has nothing of the short (CA-40 was only 4% of their congressional vote).

If migration & voting trends continue, it wouldn't shock me if Riverside County consistently votes to the left of San Bernardino throughout the decade.

[Ferguson97]

Huh.. well despite the CA Dems flopping in congressional districts, the CA GOP had little other good news.

https://twitter.com/lordpet8/status/1599862470340120577?s=46&t=Yr3mbdv1WCwJO...

An odd result if crime issues were what did in Dem congressional candidates. You'd think local/state candidates would do worse than federal ones.

[politicallefty]

Huh.. well despite the CA Dems flopping in congressional districts, the CA GOP had little other good news.

https://twitter.com/lordpet8/status/1599862470340120577?s=46&t=Yr3mbdv1WCwJO...

It'd be nice if they did something to help the people with their massive majorities. The cost of housing and the cost of living keeps increasing evermore. I don't want Gavin Newsom anywhere near the White House either. He couldn't even clear 60% of the vote. At the state level, the Democratic Party is a nightmare. All that happens is more regulation and strange laws that most people wouldn't even think of. The California Democratic Party is not a model for the rest of the country (at least not until it removes its head from its own ass).

[Torie]

This is a good summary of what happened in the House, and the quite uneven swings that ended up to be a red ripple net. I live in one of the two metro NYC CD's that did not swing to the Pubs. I was satisfied that the son was not the Dad (whom I would never vote for unless his opponent were named Trump), and I don't believe in blood libel.

https://elections-daily.com/2022/12/05/republicans-ride-inconsistent-house-swings-to-a-majority/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=the_closing_mail_from_georgia&utm_term=2022-12-06

[wbrocks67]

Down to R+2.8

Republicans 54,387,087 (50.6%)
Democrats 51,323,544 (47.8%)

= 107,381,703

[Tintrlvr]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

Herrell was a weak candidate but also I think Ronchetti was a pretty strong candidate for the Republicans. He also put up a strong result for Senate in 2020.

[Hope For A New Era]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

Herrell was a weak candidate but also I think Ronchetti was a pretty strong candidate for the Republicans. He also put up a strong result for Senate in 2020.

He was a local news meteorologist. That's why he's strong.

[wbrocks67]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

Herrell was a weak candidate but also I think Ronchetti was a pretty strong candidate for the Republicans. He also put up a strong result for Senate in 2020.

What explains the 2020 overperformance though? Or did Trump just drag her across? I forget what his performance was there in '20

[Tintrlvr]

So looks like Gabe Vasquez won NM02 despite Grisham narrowly losing it..not sure whether it says more about Herrel being a weak incumbent or Vasquez being a strong candidate

Herrell was a weak candidate but also I think Ronchetti was a pretty strong candidate for the Republicans. He also put up a strong result for Senate in 2020.

What explains the 2020 overperformance though? Or did Trump just drag her across? I forget what his performance was there in '20

Pre-redistricting, her district was quite Republican. It was really an overperformance for the Democrats in 2018 that they won it (one of the most Republican districts to go Democratic in 2018 IIRC).

[wbrocks67]

Something I didn't expect... McKee actually outperformed Raimondo's 2018 performance in RI in a much redder year.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

nyt Page is up: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/06/us/elections/results-georgia-us-senate-runoff.html

Polls close at 7 ET

[Alben Barkley]

How did I miss this before?

https://twitter.com/colinmort/status/1597676214688227328?s=20&t=EcJfws7s4WdN...

[Progressive Pessimist]

Something I didn't expect... McKee actually outperformed Raimondo's 2018 performance in RI in a much redder year.

Given what polling suggested about Rhode Island between the Governor's race and RI-2, when I saw Magaziner and McKee win by as much as they did as soon as they did on election night, that was one of several signs that there was no red wave.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Herschel Walker
Rep.   4,382   +70.8%70.8%
Raphael Warnock*incumbent
Dem.   1,810   +29.2%29.2
Total reported
6,192

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1600273983869288449

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1600273983869288449

What were the Clark County numbers

[Lief 🗽]

THANK YOU MR PRESIDENT!
https://twitter.com/jacobrubashkin/status/1600323951309295616?s=46&t=PoGZupa...