Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

👀

https://twitter.com/willrollinsca/status/1592018599371472897

They call that the Reverse Christy.

[pantsaregood]

👀

https://twitter.com/willrollinsca/status/1592018599371472897

They call that the Reverse Christy.

I read that as "Reverse Cheney" and thought "is that where your friend shoots you?"

I was very confused as to how that pertained to this situation.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

👀

https://twitter.com/willrollinsca/status/1592018599371472897

They call that the Reverse Christy.

I read that as "Reverse Cheney" and thought "is that where your friend shoots you?"

I was very confused as to how that pertained to this situation.

I think that’s when the President secretly runs the government.

[pantsaregood]

This pretty well characterizes both this midterm and what the next congress will be like.

[xavier110]

Schweikert will win AZ-01. I wonder if he retires before 2024.

Had his primary this year been a two-person race, he probably would have lost. And then if he manages to somehow sneak past a primary again in 2024, he probably loses the general or at the very least is at a slight disadvantage. So why bother?

[Yoda]

https://twitter.com/dancampbellfan9/status/1591841957500055553

[kwabbit]

Schweikert will win AZ-01. I wonder if he retires before 2024.

Had his primary this year been a two-person race, he probably would have lost. And then if he manages to somehow sneak past a primary again in 2024, he probably loses the general. So why bother?

This is not necessarily a better environment for him than 2024 will be. I think Arizona will be within a few points in 2024 either way. If Trump is nominee then Schweikert may be the underdog, but under other nominees the top of ticket may even win his district.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/dancampbellfan9/status/1591841957500055553

Good, but would've been better if you replaced FDR with Harry Reid and Fetterman with Mark Kelly (Fetterman could be Chewbacca).

[Alben Barkley]

We've talked a lot about 2002, 1998, 1978, and 1962. But this is actually the first time since 1934 all of the following are true of the president's party:

- Loses fewer than 10 seats in the House
- Gains governorships
- At least no net loss in the Senate

[Ferguson97]

With a Republican House and a Democratic Senate, I think there's a distinctly non-zero chance that both houses of congress switch party control in 2024. When was the last time such a thing happened?

Okay so I just looked it up and it's literally never happened before.

The closest we got to this was the 47th Congress, after the assassination of President Garfield. The Senate was tied 37-37, with Vice President Chester A. Arthur breaking the tie and giving the Republicans control. But when Garfield died and Arthur became President, there was a vacancy in the Vice Presidency. Meaning that nobody could break the tie and neither party had a majority. In the election establishing this Congress, the House of Representatives flipped from D control to R control. So the House went from D-->R and the Senate went D-->R-->nobody.

So even that crazy scenario technically doesn't qualify.

I'm shocked that this hadn't happened before, you'd think it have happened at least once!

[Alben Barkley]

Mastriano was so bad he might have helped Fetterman beat even Toomey, tbh.

THIS was how bad he did with the WWC!

[Yoda]

https://twitter.com/dancampbellfan9/status/1591841957500055553

Good, but would've been better if you replaced FDR with Harry Reid and Fetterman with Mark Kelly (Fetterman could be Chewbacca).

I would have changed quite a few things if I made this. What I thought was going to happen when the Falcon flew in was that it was gonna say "Dobbs" in big text over it, and the two proton torpedoes were going to be labeled something like "energized dem turnout" and "winning 18-30 vote by 30%". I also probably would have labeled Vader's two escort TIE's after his worst two endorsed candidates, so probably Dixon and Lake? Maybe Mastriano? Thought it was funny as is though.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/dancampbellfan9/status/1591841957500055553

Good, but would've been better if you replaced FDR with Harry Reid and Fetterman with Mark Kelly (Fetterman could be Chewbacca).

I would have changed quite a few things if I made this. What I thought was going to happen when the Falcon flew in was that it was gonna say "Dobbs" in big text over it, and the two proton torpedoes were going to be labeled something like "energized dem turnout" and "winning 18-30 vote by 30%". I also probably would have labeled Vader's two escort TIE's after his worst two endorsed candidates, so probably Dixon and Lake? Maybe Oz? Thought it was funny as is though.

I just think it makes sense for Mark Kelly to be Han Solo since he's a literal astronaut and since his victory came in at the last minute, clearing the way for the ultimate Senate victory guided by Harry Reid's ghost.

Rick Scott as Tarkin is perfect though.

[ProgressiveModerate]

If you look carefully at this photo, you can see the math behind them. It’s clear they didn’t have a pre-printed CO-03 card lol.

It also suggests they’re confident they’ve won 210 seats which really isn’t a suprise. But the fact they have what appears to be CA-40 as still competitive is a big lol. They have CA-09, CA-47, and CA-49 in what appears to be the safe column

[AnOdyssey]

How likely is it that Tulsi Gabbard will start endorsing Democrats again?

[Alben Barkley]

If this is by some measures the best midterm for Democrats since LITERALLY FDR, then that's more reason to think of Biden as the modern day FDR/Truman.

I can hardly believe it any more than you, but here we are.

[Yoda]

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1591941285757452288?s=20&t=4u-uqQIMr9pusrrFL...

*closes eyes, inhales deeply*

So it begins...

[Stockdale for Veep]

What's the % that Sinema runs 3rd party?

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1591804964934144000

[justfollowingtheelections]

What's the % that Sinema runs 3rd party?

0.
If she senses that she's going to lose the primary, she won't run.

[pantsaregood]

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1591804964934144000

"Titanium Tilt R NC" is as meme-worthy as "Titanium Tilt D NV." I'm not sure why, but Democrats consistently seem more interested in targeting FL and OH, despite the fact that we're now multiple elections deep on NC being closer than either.

[NOVA Green]

Meanwhile, was a bit bored earlier today while my spouse was watching the '49ers game, and thought it might be interesting to take a peek at Yamhill County, Oregon.

Sure we still got numbers out there in CD-06, but is one of the few counties in OR which actually reports results by precinct early on, other than MultCo.

Sure 2022 results are only partial, and so good chance some of these numbers might change around a bit, but still McMinville numbers look very disappointing for DEMs compared to '18 and '20, Newburg numbers are a notch over '18 GE-CD numbers, but major collapse in rurals is really the major cause of the hit for the DEM candidate in CD-04.

Maybe as more CD results come in later, numbers might shift... after all this was a county where Buehler R-GOV of OR well out-performed any other PUBs in the ballot (although seems like some precincts Drazen might have even done better in '22).

2018:

TOTAL:

(D):   20,664   (50.3%)
(R):    18,400   (44.8%)
(TOT): 41,051

NEWBURG

(D):     4,129   (43.5%)
(R):     4,830    (50.8%)
(TOT):   9,500

McMinville

(D):     7,578  (58.3%)
(R):     4,868   (37.5%)
(TOT):   12,997

OTHER

(D):     9,202   (43.9%)
(R):     10,678  (51.0%)
(TOT):   20,941

2020:

TOTAL:

(D):    27,675   (49.0%)
(R):    28,673   (50.8%)
(TOT): 56,444

NEWBURG

(D):     6,592  (52.4%)
(R):     5,963   (47.4%)
(TOT):   12,579

McMinville

(D):     9,550  (57.1%)
(R):     7,141  (42,7%)
(TOT):   16,716

OTHER

(D):     11,533  (42.5%)
(R):     15,569 (57.3%)
(TOT):  27,149

2022:

*** Yamhill County Election results 11/10/22 ***

TOTAL:

(D):    16,687   (42.9%)
(R):     21,152   (50.8%)
(TOT): 38,860

NEWBURG

(D):     3,776 (44.7%)
(R):     4,466  (52.9%)
(TOT):  8,439

McMinville

(D):     6,277 (51.8%)
(R):      5,525 (45.6%)
(TOT):   12,116

OTHER

(D):     6,634  (36.2%)
(R):     11,161 (61.0%)
(TOT):  18,305

[South Dakota Democrat]

Do you think Hassan would have beaten Sununu?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Do you think Hassan would have beaten Sununu?

Steve Bullock.

[pantsaregood]

Do you think Hassan would have beaten Sununu?

Steve Bullock.

I'm not sure that's entirely accurate. NH is far more friendly territory for Republicans than MT is for Democrats. I'd say Sununu would definitely have outperformed Bolduc, but NH does seem somewhat stubbornly D-leaning for federal elections.