Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 307090 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #11150 on: November 13, 2022, 08:22:26 PM »
Lake is DONE!
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #11151 on: November 13, 2022, 08:22:34 PM »
Hobbs still up 26K statewide after the Maricopa update
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #11152 on: November 13, 2022, 08:23:32 PM »

RIP Dems in both AZ seats.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #11153 on: November 13, 2022, 08:24:03 PM »
More like MariCOPEa
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #11154 on: November 13, 2022, 08:24:13 PM »
Yeah, Republicans have almost certainly flipped the House.
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Mike88
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« Reply #11155 on: November 13, 2022, 08:24:44 PM »

It's still very close, but it's not looking good. Undecided
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Gracile
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« Reply #11156 on: November 13, 2022, 08:25:06 PM »
CA-41 update breakdown:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11157 on: November 13, 2022, 08:25:19 PM »
Less than 100K in Maricopa left now if the estimates earlier today are accurate.
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philly09
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« Reply #11158 on: November 13, 2022, 08:25:40 PM »
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11159 on: November 13, 2022, 08:26:05 PM »

It really depends upon where the final dump is from. Hodges needs to have a dump concentrated towards the inner part of the district which seems unlikely given counting bias. If I had a map showing where the outstanding votes are from and if they're almost exclusively from the exurban part of the district, it's callable.

This sucks if we get a 6R-3D AZ delegation after all this
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Torie
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« Reply #11160 on: November 13, 2022, 08:26:35 PM »
In order to try to keep the spam down to a dull roar, here is a placeholder for AZ-01. This is really a jumpiest jump ball seat of them all (along maybe with CA-4q1), and the over/under is 54%-46%, and as one moves away from that, the odds change at a quite rapid rate.



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Nyvin
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« Reply #11161 on: November 13, 2022, 08:26:43 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 13, 2022, 08:25:40 PM


This can probably be called for Schweikert.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #11162 on: November 13, 2022, 08:26:57 PM »
« Edited: November 13, 2022, 08:31:20 PM by Dr Oz Hater »
Yeah, I think Hobbs has this. Lake's window is closing very fast. She needs to be winning about 58% of these batches to pull ahead, and there's still lots of pro-Hobbs votes left to count in Pima.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #11163 on: November 13, 2022, 08:27:03 PM »
Yeah the house is over


220-216 the final margins
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #11164 on: November 13, 2022, 08:27:13 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 13, 2022, 08:08:32 PM
Wasserman sweating like a DOG now


Wasserman can go f**k himself.  I'll never forgive him for saying Dems had a turnout problem because of turnout reports from FL/VA.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11165 on: November 13, 2022, 08:27:26 PM »
Split ticket voters fascinate me lol. Democratic Governor and Senator, but Republicans for Congress?
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Horus
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« Reply #11166 on: November 13, 2022, 08:27:51 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on November 13, 2022, 08:24:13 PM
Yeah, Republicans have almost certainly flipped the House.

With how divided their caucus is, I'm almost willing to say this will benefit Dems for 2024. Now Biden has a GOP house to blame when things don't go well, even though their majority is almost useless.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #11167 on: November 13, 2022, 08:27:53 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on November 13, 2022, 08:24:13 PM
Yeah, Republicans have almost certainly flipped the House.

This seems correct at this point
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AZDem
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« Reply #11168 on: November 13, 2022, 08:28:41 PM »
« Edited: November 13, 2022, 08:32:55 PM by AZDem »
Quote from: Roll Roons on November 13, 2022, 08:24:13 PM
Yeah, Republicans have almost certainly flipped the House.

I'll take a GQP house over Krazy Qarii running this state any day. Still a disappointment for the house but not unexpected. Krazy Qari winning would be a disaster for AZ.

McCarthy, or whoever the speaker is, is going to n their hands full and will be simping to Pelosi for Dem votes just like Boehner and Ryan had to do to offset the Krazy KKKaucus. Or they let 5 GQP members attempt to burn the country to the ground, which will only benefit Dem leading to '24.

Time to stock up on the popcorn!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11169 on: November 13, 2022, 08:29:06 PM »
It would be funny if the GOP flipped the House but the fabled military ballots come in to save Fisch anyway.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #11170 on: November 13, 2022, 08:29:17 PM »
I should’ve stuck with my 220 number that seemed obvious to me on Friday.
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John Dule
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« Reply #11171 on: November 13, 2022, 08:30:12 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 13, 2022, 08:29:06 PM
It would be funny if the GOP flipped the House but the fabled military ballots come in to save Fisch anyway.

Why would those favor Fisch?
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #11172 on: November 13, 2022, 08:30:53 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 13, 2022, 08:27:26 PM
Split ticket voters fascinate me lol. Democratic Governor and Senator, but Republicans for Congress?

muh balance
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11173 on: November 13, 2022, 08:31:23 PM »
Quote from: South Dakota Democrat on November 13, 2022, 08:27:13 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 13, 2022, 08:08:32 PM
Wasserman sweating like a DOG now


Wasserman can go f**k himself.  I'll never forgive him for saying Dems had a turnout problem because of turnout reports from FL/VA.

Both he and Silver are just trying to save face now. Can’t blame them too much because they have to defend their business/model. But reality is this year was just another nail in the coffin of people trusting the polls and the “experts” alike.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11174 on: November 13, 2022, 08:32:12 PM »
Quote from: Blessed are the Sh*tposters, for they shall destroy Twitter on November 13, 2022, 08:30:12 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 13, 2022, 08:29:06 PM
It would be funny if the GOP flipped the House but the fabled military ballots come in to save Fisch anyway.

Why would those favor Fisch?

Military + overseas. Military will prolly go narrowly for Frisch but overseas breaks nut margins in Dems favor.
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