How will climate migration effect states' voting habits? (user search)
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  How will climate migration effect states' voting habits? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will climate migration effect states' voting habits?  (Read 2905 times)
Agonized-Statism
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« on: October 15, 2022, 07:27:49 PM »

Louisiana was one of five states to swing Republican in 2008, due in part to the depopulation of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Interestingly, more than 22,500 Katrina migrants settled in Harris County, Texas, and may have played a part in that county's swing toward the Democrats in the following decade. With this example in mind, how will climate change shape the map going forward?
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2022, 11:47:36 AM »


Flooding and a more long-term sea-level rise will be a problem in Florida and along the Gulf Coast and Chesapeake Bay. States that really rely on AC- Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, again, Florida- could face blackouts and rolling brownouts with heatwaves as both excess demand and the temperature increase. More frequent or intense hurricanes could also drive people away from Southern states. Sounds like Miami's screwed.
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Agonized-Statism
Anarcho-Statism
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Posts: 3,802


Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -5.83

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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2022, 12:28:12 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2022, 01:03:51 PM by Atomic-Statism »

If its the Gulf Coast primarily from which the come, for the most part we are talking about Republicans.

Keep in mind there will also be a wealth skew in terms of those able to move.

That can go both ways, though, because impoverished people have the most incentive to leave.  It was generally the poorest people who fled the Plains states during the Dust Bowl.

Also the case for Katrina migrants, who had to leave, and IIRC the city was repopulated in large part by gentrifiers especially post-Great Recession. With ideas like the Green New Deal and mutual aid floating around, we could also see a lot of idealistic young environmentalists and social workers flocking to devastated areas to help with reconstruction.
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