How will climate migration effect states' voting habits? (user search)

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 23, 2023, 02:46:38 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  How will climate migration effect states' voting habits? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How will climate migration effect states' voting habits?  (Read 2601 times)
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,229

« on: March 13, 2023, 12:38:11 PM »

Why do these hypothetical future climate refugees only tend to come from red states?  are they being punished for their sins?  Cities like New York, Boston and LA are all coastal too, you dips[inks]ts

If you listen to the climate alarmists, the effects of climate change are being felt now and it still has not slowed growth in the mostly already hot/wet/stormy Sun Belt.  The idea that Florida is going to simply "go away" sometime in the next 50-100 years reads as terminally-online, liberal wishcasting. 

Broadly agree this is overstated, and it's likely to occur gradually enough that it doesn't feel like anywhere in particular is collapsing.  It would be more like Millennial retirees going to Michigan in the same numbers that today's retirees go to Florida, and water rationing ratcheting up and leading to bans on new construction in Phoenix or Las Vegas. 

In terms of anything instantaneous enough to feel like a collapse from climate change, it would be a hurricane destroying Miami or Tampa or Houston to the same extent as what Katrina did to New Orleans.  NYC would also be narrowly in range of major hurricanes in a warmer climate.

With the current party coalitions, the outmigration from any natural disaster (whether CC related or not) would skew very Dem.  The laptop workers and retirees would leave first, followed by the very poor (with their moves likely subsidized), while landlords, owners of purely physical businesses (e.g. plumbing), and those with multi-generational ties would have the most incentive to stay.  To a lesser degree, parents of young children would be more likely to stay, too.  The people who moved to Florida for retirement or COVID WFH would be the first to leave. 

Water can be recycled, levees can be built, desalination plants will ease water concerns over time, people can move cities further inland.

I certainly do agree with you that it is over stated and that it will be gradual over time. The upper midwest may be a hot spot decades in the future, but cities like Miami, Phoenix, and Las Vegas will all exist in 100 years.
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  

Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.