Malaysia 2022 General Election Nov 19th

[Joseph Cao]

With the call for Mordi Bimol in Mas Gading I think we have basically every conceivable GPS throw. No, I don't think Lanau or Sibu are flipping and never have.

What's your take on the current Kanowit results?

Major bruh moment, as the youth say.

[Joseph Cao]

Just over the border Sabah DAP is having a terrible night so far. They're third in Tenom and now Christina Liew has lost Tawau. Honest to goodness did not see that coming even with her state chairmanship issues.

[Novelty]

Bakri just called.  PH hold.

And congrats Mordi Bimol!

[Logical]

If PH and allies can get at least 100 seats I think they can bribe GPS with ridiculous amount of money to support a PH government.

[Novelty]

Just over the border Sabah DAP is having a terrible night so far. They're third in Tenom and now Christina Liew has lost Tawau. Honest to goodness did not see that coming even with her state chairmanship issues.

Christina Liew is PKR and there were issues with her and her grassroots.  I'm not surprised at the result.

[Joseph Cao]

Just over the border Sabah DAP is having a terrible night so far. They're third in Tenom and now Christina Liew has lost Tawau. Honest to goodness did not see that coming even with her state chairmanship issues.

Christina Liew is PKR and there were issues with her and her grassroots.  I'm not surprised at the result.

Oh wait no, right, brain fart. Still the opposition is doing pretty badly in Sabah all things considered.

[Novelty]

Oh wait no, right, brain fart. Still the opposition is doing pretty badly in Sabah all things considered.

UPKO flipped a seat from Warisan and they held KK, so it's not so bad so far.

[Novelty]

Pasir Puteh just called for PN.  PAS hold.  Nothing new there.  First seat called in the NE.

[jaichind]

Oh wait no, right, brain fart. Still the opposition is doing pretty badly in Sabah all things considered.

UPKO flipped a seat from Warisan and they held KK, so it's not so bad so far.

But WARISAN was supposed to win that seat.  It seems the opposition vote consolidated around PH instead.

[Novelty]

Kanowit called.  GPS hold with a 236 majority.  That's less than 1%

[jaichind]

If PH and allies can get at least 100 seats I think they can bribe GPS with ridiculous amount of money to support a PH government.

A reason for GPS to go with PH would also be BN and PN cannot even agree on PM given the PN's overperformance. 

[Novelty]

Mahiaddin holds Pagoh.  That's a surprise to me.  I guess he's now in the running to be PM again if PN gets more seats than BN.

[Oryxslayer]

Just got up - lol looks like Merkada was right.

If this holds, do we think BN just collapses/merges to someone else under the weight of its own inertia?

[Logical]

PN gain from BN in P095 Tanjong Karang (Selangor)!!!

[Novelty]

PN takes over Tj Karang from BN.  I guess dropping Noh Omar was a bad move.

[Novelty]

Mas Ermieyati notionally flips Masjid Emas for PN.  She is the incumbent that won it for BN the last time.

BN however, wins the Brunei-Malay seat of Kimanis in Sabah.  At least I think that's where the Brunei-Malays are located.

[jaichind]

https://luminews.my/ge15 in terms of leads has it at

PH         65
PN         42
GPS       21
BN         18
Others      3 (1 pro-PH PBM in Sarawak, 1 PPBM rebel in Sabah, 1 KDM in Sabah)
GRS         3 (PN in Sabah)
WARISAN  1

[jaichind]

UMNO Prez Ahmad Zahid Hamidi wins the 2022 Theresa May Award

[Logical]

Another BN to PN flip in Kedah this time, P007 Padang Terap. North of the Peninsula is looking like a bloodbath for BN.

[Novelty]

Syed Saddiq of Muda holds his seat with a narrow majority.  His majority is slashed to a third.

[Novelty]

Wee Ka Siong holds black water with a majority of about 3k votes.

[Novelty]

PH holds 3 more seat - Sandakan in Sabah, Kuching in Sarawak and Ledang in Johore

[jaichind]

Nothing from Perlis yet.  There is a BN rebellion there that is aligned with PN.  With all the other results I suspect PN sweeps all 3 Perlis seats.

[Novelty]

Father of the House Razaliegh Hamzah has lost by 163 votes.  Flip to PN.

[Logical]

Old UMNO warhorse Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah looks like he will hold his seat in Kelantan's P32 Gua Musang with around 30% of the vote in

BN-UMNO     48.85%
PAS              35.37% 
PH-PKR         14.90%

Very similar vote shares as 2018

In Kelantan and Terengganu PAS ran under its own symbol rather than PN since their symbol is more well-known in these two PAS-ruled states.
 

Wait .. now PAS took the lead here ?  Wow amazing...

P032 Gua Musang official results

PN 45.12%
BN 44.78%
PH 9.34%
PEJUANG 0.77%

Tengku Razaleigh goes down by 163 votes.