Malaysia 2022 General Election Nov 19th

[Joseph Cao]

PN clean sweep in Terengganu is almost confirmed. PN leads in the only seat BN won in 2018.

P033 Besut

2018
BN-UMNO 48.40%
PAS 41.92%
PH-AMANAH 9.68%

2022
PN-PAS 57.94%
BN-UMNO 36.04%
PH-AMANAH 5.25%

*only seat they currently retain, BN won two in 2018 and lost one to a defection. Amazing possibility though.

[Double Carpet]

Thanks everyone again for all the updates.

I've found some more links, apologies if they have been posted already:

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/malaysia-election-ge15-polling-day-results-live-3080246

https://live.malaysiakini.com/ge15/en/fullresults/

https://pru.astroawani.com/

https://www.straitstimes.com/multimedia/graphics/2022/11/malaysia-ge-2022-live-election-results/index.html

Thanks,

DC

[jaichind]

On the whole, GPS has underperformed in Sarawak.  They most likely captured a Chinese seat from DAP  but is in danger of losing a bunch of others that should have been won by them.

[Joseph Cao]

BN on the board with a hold in Beaufort.

[Joseph Cao]

Oh geez, that's wild, the first update for Saratok puts PPBM's Ali Biju in a commanding lead and the
EC called it for him immediately.

[Novelty]

Oh geez, that's wild, the first update for Saratok puts Ali in a commanding lead and the
EC called it for him immediately.

That's not a lead, that's the final count.  Turnout was only 69.26% which is higher than the 60% average so far for the GPS seats called.

[Joseph Cao]

Oh geez, that's wild, the first update for Saratok puts Ali in a commanding lead and the
EC called it for him immediately.

That's not a lead, that's the final count.  Turnout was only 69.26% which is higher than the 60% average so far for the GPS seats called.

Well yeah, even a final lead is a lead.

Still impressed how wide it was but this is pretty much the only bright spot for PN in the state. I don't think there are any other seats where they were in contention.

[Logical]

P146 Muar is almost final and MUDA leader holds onto his seat narrowly.

MUDA 37.55%
PN 35.02%
BN 27.43

[Logical]

PH officially won its first seat with P142 Labis in Johor. It's a hold.

PH-DAP 46.43%
BN-MCA 38.28%
PN-PPBM 15.29%

[Novelty]

PH officially won its first seat with P142 Labis in Johor.

PH-DAP 46.43%
BN-MCA 38.28%
PN-PPBM 15.29%

And that's the first seat to be called on the Peninsula

[Joseph Cao]

Malaysiakini had it, and the EC confirms it: Maszlee goes down in P151 Simpang Renggam.

Hasni Mohammad (BN - UMNO)
31.0% (18,312)
Maszlee Malik (PH - PKR)
27.9% (16,491)
Fazrul Kamat (PN - BERSATU)
15.4%

[Novelty]

And BN has flipped Simpang Reggam.

Good bye Maszlee Malik.

P157 Pengerang also called.  Azalina and BN hold.

[Joseph Cao]

PN holds gains Labuan!

And Ewon Benedick takes P174 Penampang for UPKO. Big get against a warhorse in Darrell Leiking, alarm bells for WARISAN.

[Novelty]

PN holds Labuan!

That wasn't what you predicted.

[jaichind]

https://luminews.my/ge15 in terms of leads has it at

PH         64
PN         37
GPS       21
BN         18
Others      3 (1 pro-PH PBM, 1 PPBM rebel, 1 MUDA?)
GRS         3 (PN in Sabah)
WARISAN  1

PH makes some gains

[jaichind]

Old UMNO warhorse Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah looks like he will hold his seat in Kelantan's P32 Gua Musang with around 30% of the vote in

BN-UMNO     48.85%
PAS              35.37% 
PH-PKR         14.90%

Very similar vote shares as 2018

In Kelantan and Terengganu PAS ran under its own symbol rather than PN since their symbol is more well-known in these two PAS-ruled states.
 

Wait .. now PAS took the lead here ?  Wow amazing...

[Joseph Cao]

PN holds Labuan!

That wasn't what you predicted.

It very much was not. Seems WARISAN's win there last time broke the invincibility of the BN network.

[Novelty]

P174 Penampang flips from Warisan to PH!

DAP Sarawak state leader wins Stampin, but GPS flips Sarikei with a majority of 3,700.

[Joseph Cao]

Also wow, epic BN underperformance in northern Johor. If Maszlee turns out to be their only flip in the state I will laugh so hard.

[Logical]

PH offically holds the tough swing seat of P141 Sekijang in Johor

[Joseph Cao]

The Julau frog lives!

[Novelty]

Lim Kit Siang's daughter and former senator wins in Tanjong with a huge lead.  That was expected though.

2 more seats for GPS in Sarawak making it 10 so far.

[Joseph Cao]

With the call for Mordi Bimol in Mas Gading I think we have basically every conceivable GPS throw. No, I don't think Lanau or Sibu are flipping and never have.

[jaichind]

In Sarawak Christian tribal areas the PH vote is actually holding up to 2018 levels.  This means that DAP has a shot at holding  P192 Mas Gading which I figure they were going to lose and lose badly.

P192 Mas Gading called for PH-DAP.  Shocking result

[Novelty]

With the call for Mordi Bimol in Mas Gading I think we have basically every conceivable GPS throw. No, I don't think Lanau or Sibu are flipping and never have.

What's your take on the current Kanowit results?