When will South Carolina turn blue?

[TDAS04]

I used to think South Carolina was heading down the same path as Georgia, but it’s apparently not.  South Carolina has different type of growth (newcomers are older, whiter than in Georgia), and probably has at least a few more cycles to go before it’s competitive.

[TDAS04]

While South Carolina is getting less black, the whites themselves have become less overwhelmingly conservative thanks to people moving in.  SC whites now vote more like GA whites than AL/MS/LA whites.

Not that that's enough to turn SC blue very soon.