OH Sen (Siena): Ryan +3

[Ferguson97]

Recalled 2020 vote is Trump+8....

[Ferguson97]

This is exactly what I mean when I say Likely R. Ryan has a theoretically possible path, but I just think the possibility is pretty darn remote.

I agree that his path is narrow. But I cannot think of anything that Ryan should’ve done differently on the campaign trail. Ryan has ran a fantastic campaign and Vance has ran a terrible one. If/when he loses it will be because of the national environment and/or the partisanship of the state.