OH Sen (Siena): Ryan +3 (user search)
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  OH Sen (Siena): Ryan +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH Sen (Siena): Ryan +3  (Read 1438 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: September 26, 2022, 10:37:08 PM »

Great POLL
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2022, 10:46:58 PM »

Can we stop with the “I believe all the numbers in this poll release except for the ones in the race that every pollster shows within the MoE?” Like either believe it all or don’t. Or just look at the results, shut up and move on. I don’t care that you don’t believe the numbers and you’ve been burned by Ohio before and you have no hope and whatever. You’re not contributing anything by saying “yeah I don’t believe this.” Who cares?
Ohio polling is the worst in the country. You know it's bad when even Trafalgar underestimated Trump twice here by 3 points.

And Brown won it didn't underestimate Brown
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2022, 11:08:11 PM »

Siena's final poll of Ohio in 2020 was Biden +1.
.2020 was pre Insurrection too we're in a post insurrection users forget this or all the time every poll except TRAFALGAR and Emerson have Ryan ahead Impact, Siena and Change

Do you honestly believe Trump would of won OH and ME 2 and NC post Insurrectionists, no
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2022, 02:31:13 AM »

This is exactly what I mean when I say Likely R. Ryan has a theoretically possible path, but I just think the possibility is pretty darn remote.

I agree that his path is narrow. But I cannot think of anything that Ryan should’ve done differently on the campaign trail. Ryan has ran a fantastic campaign and Vance has ran a terrible one. If/when he loses it will be because of the national environment and/or the partisanship of the state.

Ryan is gonna win Vance is gonna get very few Afro Americans DeWine got 6/12 and Renacci got very little that's why DeWine is gonna win and Ryan is gonna win just like in 2018 where Brown and DeWine won but other polls have Nan W close
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2022, 07:50:16 AM »

Ryan is gonna win he is ahead 47/42 in Change poll that is big and in Siena and Barnes is ahead  in Siena we know Trafalgar is push poll Insider Advantage has Hobbs ahead and Trafalgar has Lake up 5 which proves Trafalgar is rooting for Vance
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2022, 02:32:07 AM »

https://spectrumnews1.com/oh/columbus/news/2022/09/26/explained--methodology-behind-spectrum-news-siena-college-poll-of-ohio-voters

Here is the link it says Spectrum news
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