NC SEN Global Strategy Group (D internal) TiED RACE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1574817109485522953?t=jn7YZPtwf0umHwH6vkr9rw&s=19

CHERI BEASLEY 46
Budd 46

[President Johnson]

Lean Republican.

Around 46% is probably what Beasley will end up with, although I sincerely hope she pulls this off. But North Carolina let us down last time around and the polls were off.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Budd is at 46% percent too, we need this seat in case Barnes or Warnock Loses the Sunbelt is backup to Rust belt

[President Johnson]

Budd is at 46% percent too

Yeah, but undecideds tend to break more Republican. At least that has been the case for a while now.

[Person Man]

Same from last time.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I'm not gonna lie, I'm slowly getting a bit less pessimistic about this race. Still don't think Beasley will pull it off, but I figured Budd would be more consistently ahead by now.

[wbrocks67]

I'm not gonna lie, I'm slowly getting a bit less pessimistic about this race. Still don't think Beasley will pull it off, but I figured Budd would be more consistently ahead by now.

Pessimistic? Do you want Budd to win? If anything, Beasley has been keeping this a race for far longer than many people probably would've thought.

[wbrocks67]

Lean Republican.

Around 46% is probably what Beasley will end up with, although I sincerely hope she pulls this off. But North Carolina let us down last time around and the polls were off.

So you think Budd will win by 5-7?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I'm not gonna lie, I'm slowly getting a bit less pessimistic about this race. Still don't think Beasley will pull it off, but I figured Budd would be more consistently ahead by now.

Pessimistic? Do you want Budd to win? If anything, Beasley has been keeping this a race for far longer than many people probably would've thought.

No, that's exactly what I mean. I thought it wouldn't end up close at the end, that Budd would win by 5+, but now it's looking like it could be close. I'm not overtly optimistic because I don't think we'll quite pull it off, but I think it could be a narrower loss than I was expecting.

[President Johnson]

Lean Republican.

Around 46% is probably what Beasley will end up with, although I sincerely hope she pulls this off. But North Carolina let us down last time around and the polls were off.

So you think Budd will win by 5-7?

No, I think the result will be similar to 2020 or 2016. My guess would be Budd 49.9% vs. Beasley 46.8%. Of course, I'd like to be wrong here. Beasley is a good candidate and black women are not properly represented in the senate (not at all since Harris left).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We did win the NC Gov race eventhough we lost the Sen race and it was very close 0.5, and the Prez race was 1.2 like it or not Beasley and Ryan have a better chance than Barnes because Gerrymandering WI, but I have them all on my map

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Could you add that this is an internal in the title please?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Could you add that this is an internal in the title please?

Done.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I could buy that maybe Beasley is seeing something of a surge, but I just can't fathom what a statewide Democratic win (for anyone other Roy Cooper) looks like in this state, especially this year.

[kwabbit]

I could buy that maybe Beasley is seeing something of a surge, but I just can't fathom what a statewide Democratic win (for anyone other Roy Cooper) looks like in this state, especially this year.

I think the map will basically just be 2020 with Budd doing a little better in his district and Cabarrus.

A Beasley win would be a little more improvement in Wake and Mecklenburg, hitting down ballot numbers in Robeson, with good turnout in Orange, Durham, and the other urban centers. Easy to imagine, but hard to achieve.

[Adam Griffin]

North Carolina: Edging America Since 2009™