WA-SEN (Trafalgar): Murray +2.2

[Calthrina950]

Also interesting they never poll the GOV race, just the SEN race.

Inslee is not up for reelection this year. Why would they be polling that race?

Ugh, my bad. Was thinking of OR with Wyden also on the ballot.

That's fine. You are right about Oregon. I haven't seen any polls of the Senatorial race this year. Of course, Wyden's race is absolutely Safe D, and he might be even more secure than Murray is. Oregon's gubernatorial election is a unique three-way contest, and that is why it's been polled so extensively.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MURRY is likely to win 52/47

[Gracile]

Seeing this thread next to Trafalgar's WI-SEN poll is funny. It's like we got transported to 2000 or something.

[UncleSam]

Obviously trash, though I do think Smiley will lose by merely 10-12 in the end rather than 20+ as some seem to think. Murray is really uninspiring and mostly just produces negative ads on Smiley, but that’s also all she has to do so can’t fault her for it.

[Calthrina950]

Obviously trash, though I do think Smiley will lose by merely 10-12 in the end rather than 20+ as some seem to think. Murray is really uninspiring and mostly just produces negative ads on Smiley, but that’s also all she has to do so can’t fault her for it.

Murray has always lacked charisma and is one of the "less intelligent" members of the Senate, but Washington is a solidly Democratic state, with a large, high-turnout, and inflexible Democratic base, and she is a long-established incumbent.

[President Johnson]

Lmao, is Trashfalgar even trying anymore? At least outside the Midwest? It's junk and Republicans would be foolish to spend a nickel here.

[Minnesota Mike]

Nope. Not with the party spread in the primary 14 points. A 2% spread would literally be unprecedented movement.

The WA Primary "poll" once again is proven accurate.

[Sestak]

Would have been closer if they'd shifted over the decimal point.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I'm glad I never bought the most egregious nonsense here and refrained from moving this race to Tossup, instead keeping it at Lean/Likely D, but looking at the results, even the normal, sane pollsters mostly underestimated Murray's final margin.