I've read 15 books about the 2020 election...Ask me anything!
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March 30, 2023, 02:59:13 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  I've read 15 books about the 2020 election...Ask me anything!
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Author Topic: I've read 15 books about the 2020 election...Ask me anything!  (Read 3353 times)
Pres Mike
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« Reply #50 on: March 29, 2023, 08:52:32 PM »

From Election Night to Biden's Inauguration, was there any talk in the White House about Trump's making another attempt in 2024, or did the idea of his running again come only later?

Also:

Was any campaign, on either side, concerned about mayor Bloomberg?
1. No. The only talk allowed was Trump winning in the courts and throwing out the mail ballots. Staying in office. Trump himself made noise about getting revenge on those abaonded him and acknowledged Biden's victory (Kemp and McConnell). Privaetly Trump feared going to jail after Jan 6.

2. The Biden campaign was slightly worried it would split the moderate vote, but probably a nothing burger. Buttigieg and Klobuchar campaigns thought "the nerve of him to jump in last minute". Trump did not expect him to get the nomination, although he thought Michelle Obama or Andrew Cuomo would replace Biden
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #51 on: March 29, 2023, 09:50:30 PM »

At first I thought, no way you've read that many.  But then I read your list and realized I've read the vast majority of those as well.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #52 on: March 29, 2023, 10:24:05 PM »

Was Minnesota won by a bigger margin than expected?  How did the Biden and Trump campaigns feel about Minnesota?
Trump hoped to win Minnesota in the 2017-2019 period, since it was so close in 2020. Same with New Hampshire. But after Biden won the nomination, it was considered out of reach. I think the margin of victory was fairly close to expected. Perhaps slightly more. Neither campaign thought MN was a close state. The Biden campaign did spend money to be safe. Trump never bothered, even pulled out of Michigan.

Not entirely true.  One of the books, can't remember which one, indicated that Trump's campaign thought they could win Minnesota.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #53 on: March 29, 2023, 10:26:49 PM »

Was never seriously contested. At the end, the Trump campaign plan was to aggressively fight for Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. They expected to win Florida, Georgia and North Carolina. They wrote off Michigan and Arizona. Nevada was a toss up.

They did not write off Arizona.
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