Early Voting thread.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are gonna do well, the polls are coming around to Biden just like they did in 2008/12/2020, he is definitely the comeback kid again

It's too many people still struggling to go back to Trickling down economics tax break for rich

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need NC and Cheri Beasley

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Users need to slow down, and wait till we vote we are all voting every vote counts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Most people Early vote because they want to make sure they are eligible to vote and don't want to wait til Eday and tell them they aren't eligible but most of us know whom we are gonna vote for it's the Judges and referendums that are undecided that's why Barnes, CCM, Ryan, Bengs, McDermott, McMillian, Chambers, and Beasley can all win but Hurricane IAN touched FL that was the October surprise

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am anxiously awaiting results but compare these results to 2010 and you see that R voter turnout was much higher in 2010/ than in 2018 or 2020 the Rs are supposed to be advantages in Midterms they're not it's a 303 map anyways we're not winning FL


It doesn't matter for Oz he was down 6 pts anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

25 days till the slaughter? Well thats unhinged.

He's a Doomer just like Snow Labrador

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why we must wait for results not read too much in  Early vote I said compare these results to 2010/2014 Numbers where Rs were advantage the Rs are way below their mark in those yrs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just like on my prediction maps I won't punch R for the swing states outside of PA, WI, AZ, GA and NV and NH I am gonna let the results punch it for me, but you never know what happens on Eday there are always upsets whom would of thought Collins and Tillis we're gonna win or Beshear or Laura Kelly we never get the same maps on Eday it's very unlikely Rs are gonna crack the blue wall that means D wave insurance not R wave insurance

It's unlikely we are gonna get the same 303 map again this yr we have OH, NC, FL and UT as wave insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://mobile.twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1580889276468064257

How is this special midterm looking?

Those Florida numbers should be worrying for Dems

Ds are losing FL the last polls had DeSantis 11 and Rubio 6 we don't need FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All the Pundits are gonna be wrong on not moving NC especially to tossup I can't wait til Sen Beasley

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obama is coming into the final stretch in WI, PA and MI, it's a 303 map anyways the difference is are there gonna be D upsets in a wave insurance map the PVI was 51/47 and we are clearly that right now , a D H and net OH, IA and UT as wave insurance after WI PA if we do that it's a Secular Trifecta, a DH was always gonna accompany 55)45 the difference is NC and FL are down and IA and UT moved up, while OH stayed at 53

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are gonna get a lot of conflicting polls in wave insurance seats beware of Trafalgar polls there are polls showing GCB at 41/34 D now and then we have NY T 49/45 R WI, IA, OH, NC and UT are gonna be conflicting polls just like we had Ryan +2 and now Vance plus 4 and then we have Budd +6 and other polls had Beasley +2 and then WI Johnson plus 6 and Clarity Barnes plus one, just be advised of that all 6 races are within the MOE, Bernie already said and McCaskill that Ds are gonna net S and 6 races including PA, AZ,, NV, GA, are now MOE and no we aren't just gonna win NH the only state that has Ds +7

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These polls showing CCM ahead now is just verifying the Early vote LAXALT was leading around this time in 2018 and Sisolak won on the Early vote, same in WI EVERS and Barnes were 1 pt down to Scott  Walker and Kleefisch but Baldwin was in the same position as Evers is now and Early vote had Evers and Barnes best Walker and Kleefisch the same is gonna happen in Johnson v Barnes, Barnes win, and hopefully Ryan gets in and McMullin

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I just early voted in IL and voted to retain cuz as judge, it's huge turnout alot of these R polls are fake news, I know zds are gonna win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said many times the polls underestimate the blk vote not the gender gap the Rs never closes the racial gap they close the gender gap like Trump did with Biden in OH but there is still a racial gap with Ryan and Vance and he's not getting all the female vote that Trump gotten either that's why it's called voting and we won upsets, the only upset was VA and it was by 2 we won AK and NY 19

That's why Steve Konraki said don't give up on Ds especially in OH, WI, PA, NC and FL Senate until all the races are CALLED

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/10/26/2022-ohio-elections-more-have-voted-early-than-2018/69589425007/

Here are the Early voting statistics in.OH 400K more votes than last time good news for Ryan

As I said it's gonna be a 53/46/1 map in the Senate because we winded up in 2010 with 53 seats and we lost the H Ryan now has a 52% chance of being the 53rd seat Beasley 48% chance

It's only gonna be a slim R majority anyways 225/210

We win the Senate in 24 lose MT or WV and gain FL with DEMINGS whom can beat Rick Scott , regain the H this our Filibuster proof voting majority

This is following 2012 where Pat McCrory won likewise Budd win and Brown wins and Ryan wins and then McMullin

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/10/26/2022-ohio-elections-more-have-voted-early-than-2018/69589425007/

Here are the Early voting statistics in.OH 400K more votes than last time good news for Ryan

As I said it's gonna be a 53/46/1 map in the Senate because we winded up in 2010 with 53 seats and we lost the H Ryan now has a 52% chance of being the 53rd seat Beasley 48% chance

It's only gonna be a slim R majority anyways 225/210

We win the Senate in 24 lose MT or WV and gain FL with DEMINGS whom can beat Rick Scott , regain the H this our Filibuster proof voting majority

This is following 2012 where Pat McCrory won likewise Budd win and Brown wins and Ryan wins and then McMullin

BREAKING: You’re so far off it’s effing silly

“bUt mUh gEorGiA!!”

Your the one who said no way we win GA Runoff and you were WRONG THE FINAL POLL IS EDAY

WHY ARE YOU SUPPORTING AN R ANYWAYS YOU ARE A RED AVATAR

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

@Unelectable Bystander,
I think Ohio & North Carolina is locked in for Republicans too.

The current D-R Spread in Ohio is 45-41 and in North Carolina if you believe the NC State Board of Elections it's 39-31 D-R down from 43-27 D-R in 2020.

The LAZY North Carolina Republican Party trends to get their Early Voters more out during the Final Week of EV.

I am pretty comfortable that those Spreads in OH & NC are not good enough to safe Tim Ryan and Cheri Beasley.

Guess what you posted Molinaro plus 8 in NY 19 you were wrong you never admit you were wrong but you call out others

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am pumped and excited they say 47/35 overalls Ds outvote Rs early voting that's not a red wave 🎃🎃🎃

That's a 303 with wave insurance I can make an R nut map but what if my Fav candidates win, no I am a Secularist not an R and don't care if I get R wins wrong

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ralston’s summation of where things stand in Nevada right now:

“Bottom line: I think the Dems have reason to be happy because these do not look at all like red wave numbers after a week. But Repubs also must be content that after a week, the mail is not as voluminous as 2020 and the Dem margins also are not as great. That is: It’s close.”

(My hunch is mail is moving very slowly this cycle and things will look better for Dems next week, but it being close at all is perfectly unsurprising.)

Ds outnumbering Rs in Early voting anyways 47/35 except for FL which DeSantis is gonna win anyways, but I am not gonna believe it until he is declared the winner along with Vance, it's a 303 map we're not losing WI, PA and GA neither or AZ or NV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Shapiro and Fetterman will win it's a 303 map WI, MI, NY, CA, IL, PA, AZ, GA, NV and NH

Hopefully Ryan wins 🤞 my fingers

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Both, Rosenberg & Bonior are two absolutely FRAUDS.

Bonior is the Co-Owner of Clarity Campaign Labs who were FABRICATING POLLS to make the Florida Races look close and they won't be close at all.

These two people are complete hacks.

We don't need FL, Shapiro, Whitmer are ahead and Shapiro will pull Fetterman across and so will Evers pull Barnes across like he did against Walker in 2018 and Sisolak will push CCM across just like Sisolak def LAXALT last time

The 24 Senate is already solid for Ds that's why I posted it already BALDWIN and Jacky Rosen are stronger than CCM and Barnes

Baldwin is no chopped liver she beat Tommy Thompson in 2012 and won by 10 in 2018 Rs will find it hard to beat her

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MQK is probably gonna have Evers ahead and Center street Pac had to poll the Senate race and they will probably have Fetterman ahead

I don't buy split ticket voting in WI and PA, if Shapiro and Evers win so will Barnes and Fetterman

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Republicans could have fixed the counting problem in PA, but they didn't because they want to cast doubt and rerun 2020 again. What a grand 'old party, huh?

Do Rs really think they can take PA with Oz and we have Fetterman and Shapiro, NOT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We already know CCM is gonna win due to Native Americans and Latinos and females the margin of Error for Ds not Rs are blks, Latinos and Females non Evangelical whites


Reid was in a similar situation in 2010 and beat Sharon Angle, a tie for LAXALT isn't gonna stand up to Early voting