The exodus of the blue avatars (user search)
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  The exodus of the blue avatars (search mode)
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Author Topic: The exodus of the blue avatars  (Read 6890 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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« on: September 22, 2022, 11:19:43 AM »

It is simple. Blue Avatars here will tend to be more in tune with reality. With the way the GOP has went, it is hard for them to continue with the party or in politics so they either switch sides or drop politics. And the crazy blue avatars just give up on this site all together.

It is why I can mingle with conservative posters here, but IRL I have very few... really just one.. conservative friend.

I am not voting for a party that takes an extreme anti-intellectualism stance.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2022, 12:42:57 PM »

Liberals do irritate me in several areas but I post here because it is leans left without being a complete echo chamber.

Liberals irritate me in some ways though..

1) being overly legalistic to a micromanaging point and believing that every problem can be solved through some law. We saw that during covid.. Our ability to control the virus was always unrealistic.

2) too much NIMBY in very progressive communities and makes them seen as hypocrites to me. I am glad there was less of that in nova.

3) their main sympathies can be in the wrong area. Such as rights of criminals over the suffering victims.

4) The political correct language from bipoc to latinx to using unhoused instead of homeless solves no problems.

The reason I do not join conservatives is basically the following:

1) way to unrealistic to people who are less fortunate even through no fault of their own.  Believing people have equal chances in life is a bunch of crap. People do not have equal chances from both an economic and a natural standpoint!

2) They ignore the effects of prejudice in society. Sure, black communities do have higher crime rates, but they never even think about WHY that happens.

3) Despite my confidence that technology will mitigate climate change and we can work around it, conservatives tend to not give any care about the environment at all.

4) Most conservatives do not tolerate any mistakes and believe people should be punished their entire lives over one mistake.

5) conservatives tend to be more selfish.

6) Also the people who do not believe in evolution, believe the world is 6000 years old, are anti vaccine, and completely distrust science are largely conservatives.

7) Not to mention the anti-immigrant attitude among conservatives.

I generally picture conservatives basically two groups

1) fat white racist red necks

2) privileged and sheltered cold hearted people.

Neither of those types would be inclined to post on online forums.

Do you know any conservatives who have any sympathy for disabled people?

yea me neither.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2022, 10:20:39 PM »

I do admit that I do believe site moderation is bit biased against conservatives. That plays a role in chasing them out.

But of course, I try to play fair.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2022, 10:28:40 PM »

Conservatives answer this for me:

Why do some, obviously not all, conservatives hold the following views?

1) Everyone has completely equal chances.

2) Dismissive about concerns about the environment and climate change.

3) Hold an extreme anti-immigrant attitude

4) Dismissive about hardships faced in the black community.

5) Ignore the hardships and just do not care about people with disabilities. Especially they are not visible.

6) Only care for themselves but no one else.

Why? Why? Why?

In real life I have one close conservative friend and she is in Utah and supports McMullin and supported McAdams and Matheson in the past. I have had a few socialist friends and acquaintances but those never last to be fair.

All that I mentioned above is why I voted for the same candidate as people Nova did last year despite myself complaining, whining, moaning, bitching, kicking doors, and throwing stuff about the same issues the Republicans in VA were complaining about.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2022, 11:46:44 PM »

I'll respond to the above post in a bit.

But another thing about conservatives that irritate me is the fact that they want to end social security.

No, we shall not end social security. We will have to make policy changes such as no upper income limit in collecting a social security tax, and yes.. partially privatizing it. Whether people like it or not.

I'll be honest,  I do not give a sh**t about the very poor. I know they have government help. So they are fine imo. I am most worried about the lower working class.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2022, 12:33:01 AM »


I'm not sure anyone literally thinks this; in fact I think conservatives are likelier to say that accidents of biology play a role in what kind of chance you get (but probably less likely to say that about accidents of class). However, some more limited version of this highlighting how much easier things are today relative to the past is true; for example in the modern United States if you do not make certain seemingly easily avoidable mistakes, it is basically certain that you will not live in poverty (linked to Google search results just to demonstrate this is so often repeated). Your chances really are much better today.


One big reason I pushed back against conservatives in regards to their views that everyone has equal opportunities is because of biological reasons. The Southern United States has also virtually no economic mobility.

Poor people do have it easier in the United States compared to most of the world, but that does not mean we should dismiss their hardships. Also needs in the United States are different. In most of this country, you need a vehicle.

But it is difficult to end up in extreme poverty in the United States. It usually either through a mental condition or complete incompetence and major mistakes.

That being said, I find conservatives very unforgiving of mistakes while liberals will give more benefit of the doubt.

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Probably a mixture of numerous recent well-publicized scientific failures (like the replication crisis in psychology, sociology, and medicine, or, of great interest to me, the failure of the leading paradigm in genetics from 1995-2010, or the fact that contemporary scientific standards of proof are weak enough to allow a field studying psychic powers to exist) and an assumption that government functionaries, or ideological progressives, are incentivized to come up with theories that would support greater powers given to government, since most proposals to fight climate change revolve around heavy regulation of commonly used technologies, like cars or agricultural products.

Understanding that climate change is real even though much of science is fake, and you are right to be skeptical about it, takes some level of subtlety and sophistication.

This I can understand the most.. as my views on Covid were well known. If we followed the science on covid, kids would still be virtual learning and there would still be mass unemployment and no one ever leaving their house.

However, it is anti science to assume the follow

-Children are high risk for covid.
-Children do not need social development.
-Vaccines would end the coronavirus. Remember this is a CORONAVIRUS.
-We could eradicate covid.
-There are no negative trade offs to covid measures.

Another reason I pushed back on the left on covid measures was because I was afraid it would increase the anti-intellectualism and anti-science side of the GOP.

But still... the science is clear the Western United States needs to conserve water. But you know who the people who have the lushest lawns always are? Republicans!

It is literally why Utah has the worst record on water conservation in the west.



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Dunno; this one might make sense in certain countries (like Nordic nations?) where immigrants really do disproportionately commit crimes or depend on welfare, but that isn't true in the United States. Some people are also very protective of their country's culture, but again in the US it's generally the case that immigrants assimilate pretty well.

Congratulations, you explain exactly why I am so pro-immigrant.

And contrary to popular belief, ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS ARE INELIGIBLE FOR WELFARE!!!!!!!!!!!!


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I think lots of people object to the racialized attitude that things are presented in here; many other ethnic groups have similar histories of oppression (consider the discrimination Asian-Americans faced in the late 19th century, or Jews who fled the Holocaust, etc. etc.; in my ancestors' country, Russia, slavery wasn't abolished until 1861, or 4 years before the end of the American Civil War) but better performance among many economic metrics, and especially among immigrant groups there's resentment that the black community has been in the US for centuries but has still not become rich in spite of the massive advantage that comes from 'being in the US'. On top of this, among ideological conservatives you see a push for judging individuals separately, so the framing that there is a problem unique to 'the black community', rather than certain black individuals, is one that there is a strong instinct to reject.

Thing is.. white people FEAR black people more than other minorities. Should they? Absolutely not. When I lived in St. Louis, did I avoid black areas? Absolutely not. But I know most whites fear blacks, which contributes to their lower economic success.

Look at Prince George's County, Maryland and African Americans in Nova.. they are just fine.. but they don't live in a society that fears them.

Asians and Hispanics were never enslaved here. It is easier for latinos to assimilate.


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I'm not sure this is a common attitude among conservatives. More generally, I think the usual ideological conservative picture of how policy can lead to a better society is something along the lines of
1) less government control leading to more enterprise/opportunity (especially by repealing regulations, but also by lowering taxes and spending); there is lots of empirical evidence that this works
2) leading to a richer society across the board (ditto)
3) leading to everyone having a better standard-of-living through trickle-down (I think there is substantial empirical evidence that this works, but of course it is very controversial)

(I think given referendum results that some version of this is believed by an outright majority of the American public, but especially point 3 is actually moderately fringey in other parts of the First World). If you don't think trickle-down works, then it's possible for you to interpret points 1 and 2 as rich people trying to set up a society that works better for them, though given that right and left in the US aren't particularly tied to income or wealth I think this idea is a real stretch.

Thank you for explaining that, but I am certainly not a trickle down person and believe the government has a responsible to protect the most vulnerable in society.


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I can't imagine that people like this go into politics -- surely there are better-paying opportunities elsewhere. People who go into politics really do care for others and want to change society, even if often (usually?) an outside observer would see those changes as mostly negative.

I care about society as a whole and other people. Conservatives will tend to  care for themselves and have a "f everyone else" atitude.

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I've often written about this, but it's amazing how well-sorted the US population is becoming, and how much of the sorting seems to happen in subconscious or non-obvious ways. I've lived basically my whole life in an urban area, went to a decently liberal university for undergrad and then a very liberal one for law school, and then went into tech, and I've absolutely never had a problem having a social group consisting mostly of right-libertarians. I get approached (this has happened, like, a high-single-digit number of times) by people at parties wanting to tell me about Ayn Rand.

If not for, like, being a polling nerd I think I would assume that maybe, like, 60-80% of society is right-libertarians. But, no, the answer is that something in my presentation just selects for these people. I think a phenomenon like this goes for most people, and you have to be very interested in society as a whole to notice that you (yes, you) invariably live in some kind of bubble.

People in Nova live in a bubble I admit. Part of the reason they are so Democratic is because they are pretty damn insulated from the worst of Democratic policies. It is a low crime area, they didn't have to deal with extreme covid restrictions day to day unless they lived in DC, and liberal policies will generally not impact them in any negative way. Also the GOP will usually campaign on shrinking the federal government.. that would impact them indirectly at very least.

I have seen conservatives propose economic policies like just within the last few days. Not here though.

1) Flat percentage income tax- Nope not buying it. It literally is a give away to the rich. Especially when you consider the fact the first 100.00 to a poor person has a lot more value than to a rich person.

2) Flat dollar income tax even if it exceeds a persons income- That is a non starter. I do not even need to explain why.

3) End all social programs- As someone who has seen thugs trade food stamps for drugs, I can kind of understand the sentiment but we are not some third world country. There has to be a level of safety here. The consequences of no safety net would be to dire.

And I am someone who thought the covid relief was way over board, feels like minimum wage should be quite low (like around 12.00ish), and is a huge free marketer and free trader.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2022, 12:50:29 AM »

As far as political violence, I used to have some respect for conservatives as they were far less likely to engage in political violence. 

But right wing political violence has been increasing in recent years.

While I understand January 6th was a one time major riot and pales in comparison to the number of riots from black lives matter, it still was extremely disappointing to see that occur. Devastating really. Especially in regards it was trying to over turn election results and not care about the will of the voters.

No longer can I assume the right wing is less violent. While I do not carry a gun, I do carry less lethal weapons when I venture out into the wilderness as I am deathly afraid a conservative will try to attack me.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2022, 03:55:53 AM »

- I think the belief that there's been a blue avi flight is dubious in general.

^this I think is also relevant. In some ways, it feels like this forum is a bit to the right of where it was when in I first signed up, back in 2012.

How has the forum become more conservative the past year or so. Like yah it was pretty conservative on COVID restrictions by late 2021 for a forum that is compromised with posters on the left but other than that I don't see how it has gotten more conservative.

The two reasons I believe this forum became quite conservative on covid restrictions in late 2021?

1) By that time society moved, but a larger portion of this forum are college aged and education was the last part of society full of covid frantic moron leaders.

2) The 2021 elections were the first real electoral consequences for Democrats over covid restrictions. The loss of a state thought as solid (VA) and a close call in a safe state (NJ).

I can not think of any individual races in 2020 lost solely due to covid. 
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2022, 05:47:37 PM »

Thing is.. white people FEAR black people more than other minorities. Should they? Absolutely not. When I lived in St. Louis, did I avoid black areas? Absolutely not. But I know most whites fear blacks, which contributes to their lower economic success.
No longer can I assume the right wing is less violent. While I do not carry a gun, I do carry less lethal weapons when I venture out into the wilderness as I am deathly afraid a conservative will try to attack me.

Friendo...

Black people need to be protected. I grew up in St. Louis as a young kid, but what became completely apparent when I lived there as a cameo appearance as an adult is that people are people.

Whites fear blacks which creates a mutual distrust.

I view blacks as a group that needs protection from oppression.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2022, 05:09:36 PM »

Thing is.. white people FEAR black people more than other minorities. Should they? Absolutely not. When I lived in St. Louis, did I avoid black areas? Absolutely not. But I know most whites fear blacks, which contributes to their lower economic success.
No longer can I assume the right wing is less violent. While I do not carry a gun, I do carry less lethal weapons when I venture out into the wilderness as I am deathly afraid a conservative will try to attack me.

Friendo...

Black people need to be protected. I grew up in St. Louis as a young kid, but what became completely apparent when I lived there as a cameo appearance as an adult is that people are people.

Whites fear blacks which creates a mutual distrust.

I view blacks as a group that needs protection from oppression.

Hanging around bad neighborhoods is like driving my car. It can realistically risk my life if I did it all day non-stop my entire life, but of course I'm almost certain to survive any given attempt. I just saw it as ironic that you're stating almost simultaneously that you have a fear of being attacked by a conservative in the wilderness.

Oh.. I guess it is unusual that

I feel pretty safe in a neighborhood full of black thugs but a bit scared around let's say a town in Utah full of Mormons. LOL

But yea.. I suspect conservatives wouldn't randomly attack me.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2022, 08:44:18 PM »


You are obviously aware that I been very critical of the direction Republicans have gone in, particularly with regards to Trump. I am not a Trumpist, far from it, and I've generally been accused in the past of taking a "#both sides" approach to politics. I think it is inherently unfair to accuse all Democrats, or all Republicans, of possessing the exact same viewpoints on every issue, and that is done too frequently here. It is also inherently unfair to assert that one political party is morally correct on every issue.

Let us assume that we were in an alternate timeline, in which Trump had never become President and the Republican Party resembled that of the Bush Era. I have no doubt that there would still be harsh criticism of it and its adherents on this forum, and you would still have assertions that only one train of thought is sustainable or defensible. What you're saying here is that this forum should be a space for only one train of thought. I don't believe that Leip - who founded Atlas more than twenty years ago - would have intended for this to be an echo chamber.

On the contrary, I would like to see a forum with a bunch of Bush-era Republicans. Obviously there would be harsh criticisms, which is inevitable, and you would still see people like myself holding the viewpoints that Bushism isn't defensible, but we would not be as vocal and passionate about it, as Bushism isn't at war with democracy and reality as much as Trumpism is.

Generally, I am more of a Trump person than a Bush person.. by a long shot.

Bush-Cheney-Condi et al were war criminals and should be in PRISON  not in lavish retirement.

Their criminal international war  acts is arguably worse than January 6th.

But any support of Trump I had went down the drain with his comments and actions after the 2020 election.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2022, 08:58:23 PM »

Trump's performance on Covid has been highly underrated. He did an excellent job.




Like he was literally completely right here!
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2022, 11:42:52 PM »

For the liberals who defend Bush and say Trump was more dangerous to democracy.. do not forget this:

Bush STOLE Florida in 2000 and got away with it.

Bush STOLE Ohio in 2004 and got away with it.

Trump won and lost the states he won and lost fair and square
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2022, 12:29:08 AM »

For the liberals who defend Bush and say Trump was more dangerous to democracy.. do not forget this:

Bush STOLE Florida in 2000 and got away with it.

Bush STOLE Ohio in 2004 and got away with it.

Trump won and lost the states he won and lost fair and square

There is absolutely no valid reason to say Ohio in 2004 was stolen and in fact saying so is more crazy than saying 2016 or 2020 were rigged.


I found it so funny when Trump said on TV on January 6th that it was a stolen election.

Gore and Kerry didn't go on TV cheering insurrections and saying it was a stolen election. Especially when the election was clearly STOLEN from Gore and probably stolen from Kerry.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #14 on: September 26, 2022, 05:21:29 PM »

We've even had a small handful of posters in 2020 and 2021 advocating for absolutely zero COVID restrictions, NOT on the basis of "they don't work", but on the basis of "they might actually work, but individual freedom is more important". That is the morally wrong position and it isn't justifiable.

Ding dong your opinion is wrong. You have the right to stay in your house forever if you are afraid of getting the cold. You do not have the right to force me to live according to your irrational fear.

Do you genuinely believe that there should never have been any covid restrictions at all, even in March-April 2020? Post-vaccine, I agree there shouldn't be restrictions, but T'Chenka is specifically referring to a point before we had the vaccine, and fear of covid was not irrational then.

In hindsight the best strategy would have been to allow covid to spread and have as many people infected as possible and create a strong initial immunity giving variants less opportunity to develop.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #15 on: September 28, 2022, 03:58:53 AM »



And "experts" do not have the right to dictate politics any more than monarchs do (they don't). We can consider what they have to say and then choose to go a completely different direction. This is what democracy is for! I choose to completely disregard the psycho epidemiologists on twitter who are still freaking out that most people are no longer playing along with their hysteria.

I almost always follow the advice of what experts and scientists says. The problem with covid was in that case, many of the "experts" were becoming to political and throwing out completely false information as well. I remember when health experts and liberals everywhere were adamant that covid was ready to get you on surfaces such as door knobs and amazon packages on your front door.  Beaches were often attacked by liberals and health care experts as well despite posing little threat in themselves.

Another reason why I disregarded what experts said about covid is that the actions we would have to take would be impossible with the reality of day to day life.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #16 on: September 28, 2022, 04:00:04 AM »

Name me a single example of a successful anarchist polity and we'll talk.

The Free Territory falls just outside the century mark, but that didn't end so well, did it?


Thanks for conceding my point.

There are none because they all got invaded by their much stronger neighbors. And the Somalia part wasn't even conceding a point it was telling you that you were wrong.

And that should tell you something about the viability of anarchism, shouldn't it? We don't live in Rousseau's magical dreamworld where you take the chains off people and they all live together in harmony singing kumbaya. We live in reality where humans act in predictable ways that are easily discerned by studying history.

I'm done at this point, your Gish Galloping is too great for me to handle and you've proven yourself to be utterly ignorant of world affairs. I wish I could say this has been an enjoyable time but it hasn't. Everyone here is now dumber for having read what you wrote and Good Riddance Aurelius.

Take your mask off sometimes. Your brain needs oxygen to think.
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