Would Dan Malloy have lost in 2018?

[President Johnson]

Would Connecticut Governor Dan Malloy have lost reelection to third term in 2018 if he didn't decline to run again? His approvals were really terrible and despite a blue wave year, even Lamont barely pulled it off against a Republican candidate that was way to the right of previous Republican governors such as Jodi Rell.

I guess he might not have survived a primary challenge, though it would have been hilarious for Republicans to flip that seat in a blue wave year with a candidate like Stefanowski. On the other hand, Malloy also pulled it off 2014.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Yes

[JMT]

I think so, given that Lamont only won by about 3 points during a favorable year for Democrats. But, I thought Malloy would lose for sure in 2014, but he held on (and actually increased his margin of victory as compared to 2010). So, it wouldn’t have surprised me if he won a third term, either.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think so, given that Lamont only won by about 3 points during a favorable year for Democrats. But, I thought Malloy would lose for sure in 2014, but he held on (and actually increased his margin of victory as compared to 2010). So, it wouldn’t have surprised me if he won a third term, either.

This.

[here2view]

No, he would have won. Lamont was tied to Malloy in 2018, he was basically viewed as an extension of him. The environment in 2018 was better than 2014, he hangs on by a point or two.