Connecticut is one of those states that Dobbs put out of contention at any level for many years.
Don't disagree, but Lamont apparently was highly favored before. His approvals quickly dropped after taking office and through 2019 and received a major bump after Covid hit. A bump he never really lost.
Margin seems reasonable. Likely D, close to Safe. The only thing that allowed Stefanowski to come close in 2018 was Muhloy's atrocious approvals.
At the end of the day I think Lamont will win by a Likely margin. Stefanowski would've one if it wasn't his primary opponent running as an Independent and spoiling his campaign.