Why has the narrative on Michigan changed?
DS0816:
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on September 12, 2022, 11:57:09 PM
I remember politicos 6-7 years ago talk about Michigan as a white working class state (Macomb county), but now it seems most of the narrative is that it is a suburban upscale state (Oakland, Kent). What happened in the last few years?
The use of inserting the word white before working class is meant to divide.
Michigan, with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, is now a bellwether state. They are the only three states which were carried by the United States presidential election winners of the last four cycles—2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020—and the path to the White House now goes through these three Rust Belt states.
I think enough forum members recognize this. But there are numerous who will take any of these three states and suggest that, perhaps, they are not such bellwether states but have a slight Lean to either of the two major political parties. No.
Since people are also conscious of a given U.S. presidential election’s tipping-point state, there is no avoiding the existence, for a given time, of bellwether states. This is where the current Michigan—along with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin—is at.
pbrower2a:
Trump won in 2016, which may be the result of Russian meddling. The Democrats' voter access program was hacked, and that messed up the Democratic campaign efforts. Michigan Democrats depend heavily upon voter canvassing.
In 2020 the Democrats had made their electoral software secure. 2022 was a mediocre year for Democrats in Michigan, probably because COVID-19 messed up canvassing. In 2024 that is likely to be no problem.
Michiganders now recognize the extreme right as a menace, in view of the plot to kidnap Governor Whitmer in their own state and the Capitol Putsch. Full effects of the Capitol Putsch may not be evident from the 2022 election, but those effects could be getting worse for Republicans in a Presidential year. Canvassing will likely be back, and Democrats probably have much going for them.
Jim Crow:
Quote from: pbrower2a on May 31, 2023, 01:37:39 PM
Trump won in 2016, which may be the result of Russian meddling. The Democrats' voter access program was hacked, and that messed up the Democratic campaign efforts. Michigan Democrats depend heavily upon voter canvassing.
In 2020 the Democrats had made their electoral software secure. 2022 was a mediocre year for Democrats in Michigan, probably because COVID-19 messed up canvassing. In 2024 that is likely to be no problem.
Michiganders now recognize the extreme right as a menace, in view of the plot to kidnap Governor Whitmer in their own state and the Capitol Putsch. Full effects of the Capitol Putsch may not be evident from the 2022 election, but those effects could be getting worse for Republicans in a Presidential year. Canvassing will likely be back, and Democrats probably have much going for them.
We're allowed to talk about 2016 being rigged, but not 2020? Disclaimer- I do not think either election was rigged.
Agonized-Statism:
The populist-neoliberal realignment anticipated around 2015-2018 didn't materialize as much as expected (yet?). The Democrats' pivot away from free trade probably helped.
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