Why has the narrative on Michigan changed?
Arizona Iced Tea:
I remember politicos 6-7 years ago talk about Michigan as a white working class state (Macomb county), but now it seems most of the narrative is that it is a suburban upscale state (Oakland, Kent). What happened in the last few years?
Smash255:
I don't think the narrative has changed. The state is still fairly working class, however not everything is black and white. The state does have large sections that are middle to upper middle class educated suburban, and those areas have trended Democratic which has balanced out some of the white working class GOP trends.
Skill and Chance:
A lot of people had sky high expectations for the GOP in the Midwest because we thought Trump was going to go full European big government cultural conservative. The libertarians held their ground much better than expected circa 2017, meaning that Republicans also held their ground better than expected in the South/West but actually lost some ground in the North.
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee:
Politics is a balancing act and in a 50-50 state, if you are sacrificing some contingent in equal proportions to what you are gaining, you are back where you started from.
Person Man:
Quote from: Skill and Chance on September 18, 2022, 11:25:54 AM
A lot of people had sky high expectations for the GOP in the Midwest because we thought Trump was going to go full European big government cultural conservative. The libertarians held their ground much better than expected circa 2017, meaning that Republicans also held their ground better than expected in the South/West but actually lost some ground in the North.
My guess is that some states that either party made a run for will become part of the base while others will snap back. Just like how Democrats made a run for Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Virginia, and Florida, some of them are now fairly blue and others are becoming more conservative. For Republicans, they looked for the Great Lakes, and to a smaller extent, the Northeast. Republicans definitely snagged Ohio, Iowa, and perhaps even Wisconsin... but it looks like Michigan and Pennsylvania are snapping back.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page