Who will be the next Republican President?

[ShadowRocket]

I thought this would be an interesting question given the current dynamics in the GOP.

I'm going to be bold and say J.D. Vance elected in 2028 after two term of Joe Biden.  He's young, Trump approved, and a lot more presentable than say someone like Ron DeSantis.

Basically I'm expecting them to be a Trumpist with a sensible veneer.

[Ferguson97]

Francis X. Suarez, the current Mayor of Miami. He'll win the governorship in 2026, get re-elected in 2030, and then win in 2032 (defeating incumbent President Harris).

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Matt Walsh. He'll win the Tennessee governorship in 2026 and win a contested convention following the death of Donald Trump (who runs for a fourth term [he won 2020 and 2024, by a lot!] in 2028, but dies between the primaries and the convention), proclaiming that "you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of transgenderism". He'll defeat Vice President Harris by a few dozen votes in North Carolina, a few hundred in Nevada, and a few thousand each in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. It should be noted that Biden's approvals are below 30% at this point due to fact there's a 2008-level recession going on, but Walsh is so repugnant that he still nearly fumbles the bag.

[Vosem]

Well, at this precise moment Trump is leading primary and general polling averages, so he seems like kind of obviously the likeliest name, unfortunately.

[Ferguson97]

Well, at this precise moment Trump is leading primary and general polling averages, so he seems like kind of obviously the likeliest name, unfortunately.

I think the spirit of the question was "next NEW person", so Trump wouldn't count even if he wins re-election

[Zedonathin2020]

Either Glenn Youngkin or Tim Scott in 2028, who defeats a Kamala Harris / Pete Buttigieg ticket after an okay second Biden term.

[dw93]

Either Glenn Youngkin or Tim Scott in 2028, who defeats a Kamala Harris / Pete Buttigieg ticket after an okay second Biden term.

This though I lean heavily toward Youngkin being the nominee. DeSantis will be too damaged to mount a credible run in 2028.

[Jim Crow]

I'm still pulling for Trump, but if not that's a very good question.

[Zedonathin2020]

Either Glenn Youngkin or Tim Scott in 2028, who defeats a Kamala Harris / Pete Buttigieg ticket after an okay second Biden term.

This though I lean heavily toward Youngkin being the nominee. DeSantis will be too damaged to mount a credible run in 2028.

I assume you mean Scott? I didn’t mention DeSantis anywhere in that.

[dw93]

Either Glenn Youngkin or Tim Scott in 2028, who defeats a Kamala Harris / Pete Buttigieg ticket after an okay second Biden term.

This though I lean heavily toward Youngkin being the nominee. DeSantis will be too damaged to mount a credible run in 2028.

I assume you mean Scott? I didn’t mention DeSantis anywhere in that.

Nah, I meant DeSantis, who was (and by some still is) touted for 2028 in the likely event that he implodes in 2024. I forgot to add further elaboration on Scott, it's 50/50 as to whether a 2024 run damages him too much for 2028. If it doesn't, I can see him standing a good chance at it, especially because he'll still be in the Senate.

[TDAS04]

Donald Trump has a greater chance than any other individual, even if it's less than a 50/50 chance.

[Agonized-Statism]

Still kinda bullish for Hawley, especially if Democrats try to buck the progressives when Trump is out of the picture. It has to be someone who can rebrand conservatism the way Trump did in 2016, and DeSantis' collapse seems to vindicate my theory that the base-first strategy isn't the way for Republicans to go.

[ShadowRocket]

Still kinda bullish for Hawley, especially if Democrats try to buck the progressives when Trump is out of the picture. It has to be someone who can rebrand conservatism the way Trump did in 2016, and DeSantis' collapse seems to vindicate my theory that the base-first strategy isn't the way for Republicans to go.

Do you think his involvement with Jan. 6 would have any effect on his chances?  He crossed my mind and I could see him winning the nomination, but that video of him running from the crowd seems pretty damning as far as a general election goes.

[Agonized-Statism]

Still kinda bullish for Hawley, especially if Democrats try to buck the progressives when Trump is out of the picture. It has to be someone who can rebrand conservatism the way Trump did in 2016, and DeSantis' collapse seems to vindicate my theory that the base-first strategy isn't the way for Republicans to go.

Do you think his involvement with Jan. 6 would have any effect on his chances?  He crossed my mind and I could see him winning the nomination, but that video of him running from the crowd seems pretty damning as far as a general election goes.

That's the one thing that gives me pause with Hawley, but I could see the political atmosphere of 2028 looking like 2016 in that "Vote Blue No Matter Who" can't last forever and there could be a Republican candidate who addresses the problems of the day that a coronated third-term Democrat really can't without making the incumbent administration look bad. By then, especially with Trump probably out of the picture, the "we have to save our democracy" angle might come off as played-out melodrama and January 6 will be seen more as a boomer tantrum that was never a serious threat anyway.

[TodayJunior]

Someone who currently does not exist in the political sphere. We’re entering into a progressive era. Until the gop gets dragged kicking and screaming into this current timeline a la Eisenhower (after 24 years of not having the WH), Dems will continue to dominate and the gop will capitulate and accept the L streaks. Why?

Exhibit A: The gop establishment hates its own base (and the feeling is mutual). The gop of tomorrow is todays Dems. There’s no appetite for what they’re selling the public currently.

Exhibit B: the rust belt trifecta is reverting back to its blue wall status without being offset by any counterweight to trend R.

[Ragnaroni]

GLENN YOUNGKIN

[MABA 2020]

I have a hard time imagining any current prominent Republican winning a future nomination and then getting elected (besides Trump)

Out of the available options I'd say Hawley, especially because of how young he is.

[S019]

Dan Crenshaw

[Mister Mets]

The frontrunner right now is likely DeSantis.

He has a shot in 2024, but is also a potential contender for a few cycles.