Would Democrats have won the Virginia House of Delegates had it been up in 2022?
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  Would Democrats have won the Virginia House of Delegates had it been up in 2022?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Would Democrats have won the Virginia House of Delegates had it been up in 2022?  (Read 190 times)
Mr.Phips
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« on: November 12, 2022, 07:39:42 PM »
Democrats barely lost this chamber in 2021 (48-52) under a map that was a Republican gerrymander outside of the Hampton Roads area.  The new map was Court drawn and Democrats benefit from seats shifting from the heavily Republican southwest to NOVA as well as Fredericksburg being united in a single district.  Based on the results elsewhere, I think Dems probably would have won this chamber had it been up this year?  Anyone disagree or have any other thoughts?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2022, 07:54:15 PM »
Yes. The results prove that. However, the key reason is that southside and tidewater African Americans do not vote in comparable rates to Whites in the normal odd-numbered years when compared to the even ones. So dems would have a wider playing field: new HDs 82, 83, 49 being prime examples.
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